{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f9ad55a7-16dd-45a7-9fe1-76b75a3b93e1", "symbol": "WTES", "name": "WisdomTree Europe SmallCap Dividend UCITS ETF", "exchange": "GER", "country": "DE", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GDAXI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 66.168, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 78.93, "architecture_energy": 72.746, "architecture_maturity": 33.775, "architecture_confidence": 73.18, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 9.69, "rotation_up": 74.05, "upward_expansion": 90.83, "deceleration": 42.32, "rotation_down": 11.68, "downward_expansion": 15.17 }, "activity_lines": [ 21.762666, 21.569678, 21.395193, 21.257412 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 22.125, "trend_reference": 21.128119, "distance_from_trend": 0.047183, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 18.247503, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.212495, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -0.302659, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.052605, "excess_performance": -0.012035, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.047183, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.02705, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.212495, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.029592, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.003027, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.04001, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.052605, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.147469, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 7144, "relative_activity": 0.883349, "balance": 1.147469, "dry_up": 1.225363, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.020426, "annualized_volatility": 0.134301, "from_high_reference": 0.0, "from_low_reference": 0.177164 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 21.128119, "fair_value_reference": 18.247503, "structural_low": 19.293907, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 31, "median_return": 0.001667, "positive_rate": 0.580645, "directional_follow_through": 0.580645, "median_excess_return": 0.00537, "regime_survival": 0.709677, "best_return": 0.07156, "worst_return": -0.079153, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.009499, "positive_rate": 0.636364, "directional_follow_through": 0.636364, "median_excess_return": 0.012068, "regime_survival": 0.363636, "best_return": 0.057599, "worst_return": -0.033247, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.060661, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": 0.019613, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.107956, "worst_return": -0.141564, "sufficient": true }, { 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21.037887, "fair_value": 18.162555, "relative_strength": 2.646447, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.245862, "energy": 48.454681, "activity_lines": [ 21.442918, 21.36656, 21.235854, 21.146929 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 21.709999, "volume": 5118, "typical_volume": 8305.9, "trend": 21.08462, "fair_value": 18.20315, "relative_strength": 0.53719, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.688948, "energy": 54.065046, "activity_lines": [ 21.554666, 21.434127, 21.298414, 21.190291 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 22.125, "volume": 7144, "typical_volume": 8087.4, "trend": 21.128119, "fair_value": 18.247503, "relative_strength": -0.302659, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 78.930022, "energy": 72.745743, "activity_lines": [ 21.762666, 21.569678, 21.395193, 21.257412 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }