{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f9ae5c18-de12-449c-8e8f-2edc24ad36ea", "symbol": "002064", "name": "Huafon Chemical Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 24.984, "architecture_energy": 21.372, "architecture_maturity": 13.667, "architecture_confidence": 66.299, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 47.07, "rotation_up": 52.6, "upward_expansion": 32.27, "deceleration": 39.5, "rotation_down": 21.36, "downward_expansion": 23.27 }, "activity_lines": [ 11.078667, 10.699613, 10.613991, 10.729609 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 12.03, "trend_reference": 11.033433, "distance_from_trend": 0.090322, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 8.151559, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.475791, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 14.519345, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.065994, "excess_performance": -0.073394, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.090322, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.019524, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.475791, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.08311, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.145193, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.17573, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.065994, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.084872, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 314433515, "relative_activity": 1.616461, "balance": 1.084872, "dry_up": 1.31654, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.100209, "annualized_volatility": 0.431252, "from_high_reference": -0.139485, "from_low_reference": 0.652899 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 11.033433, "fair_value_reference": 8.151559, "structural_low": 9.4, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": -0.01532, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.002582, "regime_survival": 0.533333, "best_return": 0.149701, "worst_return": -0.170343, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.06914, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.003188, "regime_survival": 0.125, "best_return": 0.085329, "worst_return": -0.180095, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.006194, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.285714, "median_excess_return": 0.034678, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.240515, "worst_return": -0.210111, "sufficient": true }, 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"down", "direction": -49.649112, "energy": 24.467142, "activity_lines": [ 10.165333, 10.171715, 10.420081, 10.689069 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 10.62, "volume": 288991006, "typical_volume": 195003848.2, "trend": 11.005766, "fair_value": 8.094685, "relative_strength": 5.844194, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -35.771308, "energy": 17.198899, "activity_lines": [ 10.335333, 10.235503, 10.4244, 10.664761 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 10.98, "volume": 213290575, "typical_volume": 189788279.3, "trend": 10.9991, "fair_value": 8.119634, "relative_strength": 10.647507, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -22.547745, "energy": 11.539438, "activity_lines": [ 10.550667, 10.378313, 10.469862, 10.663099 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 12.03, "volume": 314433515, "typical_volume": 194519715.9, "trend": 11.033433, "fair_value": 8.151559, "relative_strength": 14.519345, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 24.984407, "energy": 21.371607, "activity_lines": [ 11.078667, 10.699613, 10.613991, 10.729609 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }