{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f9b35f89-b9f1-4425-bf49-cca3f08e845e", "symbol": "OPP", "name": "RiverNorth/DoubleLine Strategic opportunity fund Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 90.097, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 57.843, "architecture_energy": 52.819, "architecture_maturity": 7.524, "architecture_confidence": 70.785, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 22.78, "rotation_up": 64.34, "upward_expansion": 85.94, "deceleration": 44.7, "rotation_down": 13.5, "downward_expansion": 10.27 }, "activity_lines": [ 7.652655, 7.617828, 7.588987, 7.555709 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 7.66, "trend_reference": 7.516814, "distance_from_trend": 0.019049, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 6.844348, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.119172, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -9.272441, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.020416, "excess_performance": -0.105209, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.019049, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.009775, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.119172, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.028555, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.092724, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.002335, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.020416, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.868544, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 418886, "relative_activity": 1.048795, "balance": 0.868544, "dry_up": 0.990575, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.018325, "annualized_volatility": 0.079885, "from_high_reference": -0.029659, "from_low_reference": 0.059523 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 7.516814, "fair_value_reference": 6.844348, "structural_low": 7.229667, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 26, "median_return": 0.008628, "positive_rate": 0.538462, "directional_follow_through": 0.538462, "median_excess_return": -0.013141, "regime_survival": 0.769231, "best_return": 0.058241, "worst_return": -0.04773, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.004195, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.036606, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.084349, "worst_return": -0.100129, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.049452, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.037299, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.121449, "worst_return": -0.035939, "sufficient": true }, { 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"activity_lines": [ 7.625548, 7.572271, 7.555262, 7.527692 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 7.65, "volume": 412686, "typical_volume": 408223.65, "trend": 7.499737, "fair_value": 6.819236, "relative_strength": -5.909626, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.765827, "energy": 61.454689, "activity_lines": [ 7.646716, 7.590263, 7.568484, 7.538079 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 7.62, "volume": 366097, "typical_volume": 406208.7, "trend": 7.506987, "fair_value": 6.8316, "relative_strength": -6.946099, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 56.158444, "energy": 58.661649, "activity_lines": [ 7.647307, 7.601144, 7.577486, 7.545838 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 7.66, "volume": 418886, "typical_volume": 399397.55, "trend": 7.516814, "fair_value": 6.844348, "relative_strength": -9.272441, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.843118, "energy": 52.8186, "activity_lines": [ 7.652655, 7.617828, 7.588987, 7.555709 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }