{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f9c6a2c9-bb99-4bf9-82d6-4aa01747b23f", "symbol": "3467", "name": "Forcera Materials Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 83.346, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -26.844, "architecture_energy": 60.653, "architecture_maturity": 12.242, "architecture_confidence": 79.287, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 25.91, "rotation_up": 14.2, "upward_expansion": 28.8, "deceleration": 49.2, "rotation_down": 68.97, "downward_expansion": 56.14 }, "activity_lines": [ 46.586666, 51.011889, 56.391898, 54.977758 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 46.599998, "trend_reference": 51.952591, "distance_from_trend": -0.103028, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 51.78532, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.100131, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -30.508467, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.154783, "excess_performance": -0.286589, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.103028, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.090417, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs 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"invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, 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"relative_strength": -23.014096, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 11.409758, "energy": 16.353653, "activity_lines": [ 57.527471, 60.867532, 60.25396, 56.351712 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 50.900002, "volume": 232000, "typical_volume": 1405171.15, "trend": 52.15864, "fair_value": 51.930514, "relative_strength": -24.511428, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -4.406028, "energy": 19.588021, "activity_lines": [ 54.694444, 58.677638, 59.75674, 56.275065 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 44.799999, "volume": 709200, "typical_volume": 1429131.15, "trend": 51.956514, "fair_value": 51.877695, "relative_strength": -31.458323, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -35.38938, "energy": 38.382339, "activity_lines": [ 50.684966, 55.628571, 58.620793, 55.800314 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 44.5, "volume": 467010, "typical_volume": 1439431.65, "trend": 51.893113, "fair_value": 51.823447, "relative_strength": -32.389226, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -35.627283, "energy": 60.250773, "activity_lines": [ 47.726666, 52.86055, 57.422355, 55.319249 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 46.599998, "volume": 272000, "typical_volume": 1395693.7, "trend": 51.952591, "fair_value": 51.78532, "relative_strength": -30.508467, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -26.843513, "energy": 60.652872, "activity_lines": [ 46.586666, 51.011889, 56.391898, 54.977758 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }