{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f9c70259-1e11-4163-aa76-ea4e3e8805c3", "symbol": "C1CI34", "name": "Crown Castle Inc.", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -68.29, "architecture_energy": 88.404, "architecture_maturity": 13.046, "architecture_confidence": 85.799, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 16.19, "rotation_up": 8.02, "upward_expansion": 21.97, "deceleration": 37.0, "rotation_down": 81.35, "downward_expansion": 97.64 }, "activity_lines": [ 98.049334, 101.908097, 105.957996, 107.041511 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 98.800003, "trend_reference": 108.341581, "distance_from_trend": -0.088069, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 125.042831, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.209871, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -18.367642, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.040116, "excess_performance": 0.016933, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.088069, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.037692, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.209871, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.067022, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.183676, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.082257, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.040116, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.127273, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1, "relative_activity": 0.101523, "balance": 0.127273, "dry_up": 1.827411, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.034249, "annualized_volatility": 0.323175, "from_high_reference": -0.282869, "from_low_reference": 0.034555 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 108.341581, "fair_value_reference": 125.042831, "structural_low": 95.5, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 31, "median_return": -0.006115, "positive_rate": 0.451613, "directional_follow_through": 0.548387, "median_excess_return": -0.031065, "regime_survival": 0.83871, "best_return": 0.169808, "worst_return": -0.132309, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.013068, "positive_rate": 0.363636, "directional_follow_through": 0.636364, "median_excess_return": -0.010926, "regime_survival": 0.636364, "best_return": 0.166212, "worst_return": -0.153243, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.015951, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.016248, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.161078, "worst_return": -0.243295, 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107.79008, 107.249851, 108.595435, 110.685434 ] }, { "date": "2026-05-15", "close": 108.142952, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 11.05, "trend": 113.51262, "fair_value": 126.072329, "relative_strength": -23.066166, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -34.814974, "energy": 20.328674, "activity_lines": [ 108.010177, 107.242253, 108.388227, 110.287973 ] }, { "date": "2026-05-22", "close": 114.521805, "volume": 1, "typical_volume": 10.65, "trend": 112.934272, "fair_value": 126.011658, "relative_strength": -17.33317, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -0.629985, "energy": 12.278623, "activity_lines": [ 110.271065, 108.543923, 108.841274, 110.353082 ] }, { "date": "2026-05-29", "close": 114.085304, "volume": 51, "typical_volume": 10.9, "trend": 112.585146, "fair_value": 125.944958, "relative_strength": -15.782426, "stage": 4, "regime": 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112.471706, "fair_value": 125.882685, "relative_strength": -5.656677, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 60.37859, "energy": 85.078327, "activity_lines": [ 118.521222, 115.013328, 111.948746, 111.684707 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 107.580002, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 8.35, "trend": 112.059076, "fair_value": 125.784535, "relative_strength": -17.92055, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 13.66312, "energy": 49.601055, "activity_lines": [ 115.344395, 114.132454, 111.681396, 111.369113 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 102.739998, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 8.35, "trend": 111.520499, "fair_value": 125.616867, "relative_strength": -21.297556, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -20.710702, "energy": 13.738469, "activity_lines": [ 111.01702, 112.344605, 110.930945, 110.767882 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 102.739998, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 7.85, "trend": 111.078261, "fair_value": 125.480499, "relative_strength": -22.050077, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.535998, "energy": 58.068198, "activity_lines": [ 107.445999, 110.655491, 110.181395, 110.201398 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 99.75, "volume": 1, "typical_volume": 7.3, "trend": 110.429274, "fair_value": 125.385203, "relative_strength": -21.52767, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -87.337967, "energy": 73.569265, "activity_lines": [ 103.634666, 108.520976, 109.202139, 109.470543 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 95.5, "volume": 58, "typical_volume": 9.85, "trend": 109.63862, "fair_value": 125.244771, "relative_strength": -23.896896, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -91.797156, "energy": 96.998283, "activity_lines": [ 99.851999, 105.766333, 107.876649, 108.507364 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 97.0, "volume": 12, "typical_volume": 10.1, "trend": 108.882101, "fair_value": 125.143066, "relative_strength": -23.302723, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -79.397748, "energy": 92.592658, "activity_lines": [ 98.298, 103.514289, 106.79337, 107.691969 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 98.800003, "volume": 1, "typical_volume": 9.85, "trend": 108.341581, "fair_value": 125.042831, "relative_strength": -18.367642, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.290293, "energy": 88.404208, "activity_lines": [ 98.049334, 101.908097, 105.957996, 107.041511 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }