{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f9e4d356-58e8-49ac-b6ef-cc6a41d330d0", "symbol": "BBCP", "name": "Concrete Pumping Holdings Class A", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 37.351, "architecture_energy": 24.045, "architecture_maturity": 73.779, "architecture_confidence": 95.492, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 36.03, "rotation_up": 22.05, "upward_expansion": 59.6, "deceleration": 93.98, "rotation_down": 27.56, "downward_expansion": 16.6 }, "activity_lines": [ 10.079333, 10.464545, 9.819952, 9.133247 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 9.75, "trend_reference": 8.229667, "distance_from_trend": 0.184738, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 6.812622, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.431167, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 12.958044, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.513975, "excess_performance": 0.326522, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.184738, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.194725, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.431167, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.21796, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.12958, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.158163, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.513975, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.110098, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 651389, "relative_activity": 0.537564, "balance": 2.110098, "dry_up": 0.625427, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.122124, "annualized_volatility": 0.481917, "from_high_reference": -0.200164, "from_low_reference": 0.755176 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 8.229667, "fair_value_reference": 6.812622, "structural_low": 6.29, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.034565, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": 0.03038, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.146965, "worst_return": -0.119548, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.024503, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.018923, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.082739, "worst_return": -0.069322, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.00295, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.01707, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.269615, "worst_return": -0.125843, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.08251, 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"tenure": "New", "return": -0.00731, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-08-22", "end": "2025-10-10", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.102351, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-10-17", "end": "2025-10-31", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.013889, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-11-07", "end": "2025-11-21", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.014658, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-11-28", "end": "2025-12-12", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.111288, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-12-19", "end": "2026-01-30", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.176638, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", 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10.53, "volume": 833512, "typical_volume": 1218218.7, "trend": 8.049667, "fair_value": 6.78027, "relative_strength": 29.587116, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.041276, "energy": 50.766977, "activity_lines": [ 10.746, 10.689273, 9.655476, 8.921183 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 9.73, "volume": 831668, "typical_volume": 1213764.2, "trend": 8.143333, "fair_value": 6.796754, "relative_strength": 18.751415, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 43.284056, "energy": 33.82271, "activity_lines": [ 10.347333, 10.594364, 9.743667, 9.029591 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 9.75, "volume": 651389, "typical_volume": 1211743.3, "trend": 8.229667, "fair_value": 6.812622, "relative_strength": 12.958044, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 37.351305, "energy": 24.044748, "activity_lines": [ 10.079333, 10.464545, 9.819952, 9.133247 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }