{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "fa023b42-a4e5-4e85-b71d-313a4617f4ec",
    "symbol": "AARON",
    "name": "Aaron Industries Limited",
    "exchange": "NSI",
    "country": "IN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^NSEI",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -4.523,
    "architecture_energy": 18.156,
    "architecture_maturity": 100.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 39.369,
    "architecture_tenure": "Extended",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 45.55,
        "rotation_up": 43.39,
        "upward_expansion": 35.24,
        "deceleration": 44.49,
        "rotation_down": 23.3,
        "downward_expansion": 48.24
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        131.640001,
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        130.263312
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.0
    },
    "latest_close": 134.240005,
    "trend_reference": 137.236334,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.021833,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 154.578906,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.131576,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -15.583731,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.177552,
    "excess_performance": -0.133843,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.021833,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.127604,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.131576,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.034429,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.155837,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.045555,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.177552,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 5.139923,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 77029,
      "relative_activity": 0.78789,
      "balance": 5.139923,
      "dry_up": 3.064791,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.076734,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.421623,
      "from_high_reference": -0.47969,
      "from_low_reference": 0.256929
    },
    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 154.578906,
      "structural_low": 106.800003,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": -0.050392,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": -0.03326,
        "regime_survival": 1.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.125163,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "sufficient": false
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        "sufficient": false
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        "active": false
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      {
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
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      {
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        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "return": -0.064031,
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "typical_volume": 64133.05,
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        "relative_strength": -18.757264,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 64101.1,
        "trend": 157.309667,
        "fair_value": 153.923504,
        "relative_strength": -27.00821,
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        "modifier": "Established contraction",
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "energy": 76.834605,
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "trend": 145.090334,
        "fair_value": 154.203633,
        "relative_strength": -27.941018,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 118.93,
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        "fair_value": 154.227794,
        "relative_strength": -27.109868,
        "stage": 4,
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        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -64.861261,
        "energy": 63.777972,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 117.739998,
        "volume": 33965,
        "typical_volume": 53194.9,
        "trend": 140.973334,
        "fair_value": 154.256543,
        "relative_strength": -27.536016,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -67.191134,
        "energy": 68.385703,
        "activity_lines": [
          118.602,
          119.069091,
          124.697619,
          131.136409
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 135.25,
        "volume": 426238,
        "typical_volume": 66693.3,
        "trend": 139.608,
        "fair_value": 154.374373,
        "relative_strength": -13.910297,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -30.192452,
        "energy": 24.995535,
        "activity_lines": [
          123.962666,
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          125.248762,
          130.767161
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 135.809998,
        "volume": 661300,
        "typical_volume": 96042.75,
        "trend": 138.251667,
        "fair_value": 154.497537,
        "relative_strength": -14.915627,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -17.603186,
        "energy": 17.268356,
        "activity_lines": [
          128.651332,
          124.569818,
          125.926714,
          130.522129
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 134.240005,
        "volume": 77029,
        "typical_volume": 97766.2,
        "trend": 137.236334,
        "fair_value": 154.578906,
        "relative_strength": -15.583731,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -4.523081,
        "energy": 18.155797,
        "activity_lines": [
          131.640001,
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          126.472858,
          130.263312
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}