{ "ticker": { "uuid": "fa0ca902-3972-4d90-aa66-546c715047eb", "symbol": "300552", "name": "Vanjee Technology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -63.954, "architecture_energy": 57.255, "architecture_maturity": 33.448, "architecture_confidence": 73.367, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 7.71, "rotation_up": 12.36, "upward_expansion": 8.68, "deceleration": 49.62, "rotation_down": 69.98, "downward_expansion": 82.02 }, "activity_lines": [ 20.659333, 21.674727, 23.887381, 25.314322 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 22.58, "trend_reference": 27.711666, "distance_from_trend": -0.185181, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 28.109679, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.196718, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -20.483112, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.285669, "excess_performance": -0.293069, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.185181, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.04437, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.196718, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.22011, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.204831, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.016717, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.285669, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.505997, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 72243455, "relative_activity": 2.721596, "balance": 1.505997, "dry_up": 1.296309, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.129522, "annualized_volatility": 0.459956, "from_high_reference": -0.455904, "from_low_reference": 0.288078 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 27.711666, "fair_value_reference": 28.109679, "structural_low": 17.530001, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 21, "median_return": 0.03483, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.020798, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.517358, "worst_return": -0.259122, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.194987, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.147523, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.660809, "worst_return": -0.051103, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.087591, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.004504, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.384319, "worst_return": -0.066634, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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26.174524, 27.464796 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 19.299999, "volume": 20414445, "typical_volume": 25285438.45, "trend": 28.761, "fair_value": 28.135513, "relative_strength": -31.125547, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -88.612811, "energy": 91.565025, "activity_lines": [ 21.847999, 23.834545, 25.427571, 26.845118 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 18.629999, "volume": 21022158, "typical_volume": 24527624.05, "trend": 28.375333, "fair_value": 28.111346, "relative_strength": -33.10114, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -84.120141, "energy": 91.965756, "activity_lines": [ 20.431333, 22.597636, 24.686619, 26.191505 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 20.17, "volume": 23959493, "typical_volume": 24249323.9, "trend": 27.971, "fair_value": 28.095769, "relative_strength": -25.809733, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.141842, "energy": 83.325905, "activity_lines": [ 20.056, 21.827818, 24.150238, 25.662129 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 22.58, "volume": 72243455, "typical_volume": 26544518.9, "trend": 27.711666, "fair_value": 28.109679, "relative_strength": -20.483112, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.954371, "energy": 57.255287, "activity_lines": [ 20.659333, 21.674727, 23.887381, 25.314322 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }