{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "fa205779-c710-4632-82b4-cd020e929242",
    "symbol": "UIMZ",
    "name": "UBS Factor MSCI EMU Prime Value Screened UCITS ETF EUR dis",
    "exchange": "AMS",
    "country": "NL",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^AEX",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 83.685,
    "architecture_energy": 92.39,
    "architecture_maturity": 62.104,
    "architecture_confidence": 92.936,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 0.69,
        "rotation_up": 66.99,
        "upward_expansion": 99.07,
        "deceleration": 39.48,
        "rotation_down": 29.06,
        "downward_expansion": 21.07
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        26.781999,
        26.531363,
        25.826143,
        25.089599
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 26.934999,
    "trend_reference": 24.175005,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.114167,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 20.055789,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.343004,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 5.319443,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.215533,
    "excess_performance": 0.098871,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.114167,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.069321,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.343004,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.069933,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.053194,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.014372,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.215533,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 5.0,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 0,
      "relative_activity": 0.0,
      "balance": 5.0,
      "dry_up": 0.333992,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.009596,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.125493,
      "from_high_reference": -0.004067,
      "from_low_reference": 0.312445
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 24.175005,
      "fair_value_reference": 20.055789,
      "structural_low": 21.455,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 41,
        "median_return": 0.005639,
        "positive_rate": 0.585366,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.585366,
        "median_excess_return": 0.001623,
        "regime_survival": 0.780488,
        "best_return": 0.077483,
        "worst_return": -0.139302,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 15,
        "median_return": 0.024321,
        "positive_rate": 0.733333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.733333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.022019,
        "regime_survival": 0.533333,
        "best_return": 0.139769,
        "worst_return": -0.08555,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 9,
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        "positive_rate": 0.888889,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.888889,
        "median_excess_return": 0.003849,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
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        "worst_return": -0.142831,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "worst_return": -0.073642,
        "sufficient": false
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        "end": "2024-10-11",
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "typical_volume": 1383.5,
        "trend": 22.100325,
        "fair_value": 19.257368,
        "relative_strength": 3.791533,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 82.034644,
        "energy": 92.10073,
        "activity_lines": [
          23.464001,
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          22.783007,
          22.503048
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "volume": 862,
        "typical_volume": 1426.6,
        "trend": 22.216444,
        "fair_value": 19.307643,
        "relative_strength": 6.756683,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 93.40649,
        "energy": 96.358397,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 24.690001,
        "volume": 862,
        "typical_volume": 1465.95,
        "trend": 22.336229,
        "fair_value": 19.356879,
        "relative_strength": 7.734746,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 87.541125,
        "energy": 94.0098,
        "activity_lines": [
          24.212667,
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          23.166316,
          22.822611
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 25.17,
        "volume": 5312,
        "typical_volume": 1731.55,
        "trend": 22.472014,
        "fair_value": 19.41104,
        "relative_strength": 6.050887,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 90.705094,
        "energy": 96.088866,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 1731.55,
        "trend": 22.607799,
        "fair_value": 19.464911,
        "relative_strength": 6.912384,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 81.71115,
        "energy": 92.955057,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 25.17,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 1730.8,
        "trend": 22.743585,
        "fair_value": 19.519118,
        "relative_strength": 6.130738,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 75.155358,
        "energy": 90.803782,
        "activity_lines": [
          25.066667,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 25.59,
        "volume": 431,
        "typical_volume": 1752.35,
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        "fair_value": 19.573473,
        "relative_strength": 3.818151,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 84.991385,
        "energy": 94.280279,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "relative_strength": 5.126051,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 87.315642,
        "energy": 94.91008,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 1773.85,
        "trend": 23.211806,
        "fair_value": 19.69169,
        "relative_strength": 8.496647,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 91.99356,
        "energy": 96.628287,
        "activity_lines": [
          25.818,
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          24.499262,
          23.930149
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 26.299999,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 1773.85,
        "trend": 23.373119,
        "fair_value": 19.753455,
        "relative_strength": 6.076189,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 85.357532,
        "energy": 94.734716,
        "activity_lines": [
          26.044666,
          25.642909,
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          24.129387
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 26.299999,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 1752.3,
        "trend": 23.534432,
        "fair_value": 19.812965,
        "relative_strength": 5.830453,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 77.911886,
        "energy": 92.224711,
        "activity_lines": [
          26.195999,
          25.831636,
          24.950452,
          24.318218
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 26.57,
        "volume": 123,
        "typical_volume": 1758.45,
        "trend": 23.704745,
        "fair_value": 19.872392,
        "relative_strength": 6.020198,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 84.667514,
        "energy": 94.542707,
        "activity_lines": [
          26.361999,
          26.023636,
          25.177548,
          24.514061
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 26.625,
        "volume": 400,
        "typical_volume": 1735.35,
        "trend": 23.854609,
        "fair_value": 19.929999,
        "relative_strength": 6.294874,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 80.421435,
        "energy": 92.653274,
        "activity_lines": [
          26.481,
          26.189454,
          25.394119,
          24.702465
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 26.934999,
        "volume": 896,
        "typical_volume": 1191.55,
        "trend": 24.014807,
        "fair_value": 19.992801,
        "relative_strength": 6.604787,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 88.585766,
        "energy": 87.692859,
        "activity_lines": [
          26.652333,
          26.376454,
          25.62069,
          24.9012
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 26.934999,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 1062.15,
        "trend": 24.175005,
        "fair_value": 20.055789,
        "relative_strength": 5.319443,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 83.684941,
        "energy": 92.390157,
        "activity_lines": [
          26.781999,
          26.531363,
          25.826143,
          25.089599
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}