{ "ticker": { "uuid": "fa2196c8-4e27-4689-98dd-016ab5fe3058", "symbol": "8K7", "name": "UG Healthcare Corporation Limited", "exchange": "SES", "country": "SG", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^STI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -57.115, "architecture_energy": 32.222, "architecture_maturity": 28.393, "architecture_confidence": 85.622, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 24.71, "rotation_up": 18.67, "upward_expansion": 2.98, "deceleration": 57.04, "rotation_down": 51.51, "downward_expansion": 76.31 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.0782, 0.078691, 0.080652, 0.08148 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 0.077, "trend_reference": 0.083767, "distance_from_trend": -0.08078, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.108731, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.291829, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -29.068706, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.172043, "excess_performance": -0.326878, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.08078, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.06406, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.291829, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.034478, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.290687, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.077783, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.172043, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.083908, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 511900, "relative_activity": 0.262485, "balance": 1.083908, "dry_up": 0.209363, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.077922, "annualized_volatility": 0.267798, "from_high_reference": -0.306306, "from_low_reference": 0.115942 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.083767, "fair_value_reference": 0.108731, "structural_low": 0.069, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 46, "median_return": -0.027142, "positive_rate": 0.282609, "directional_follow_through": 0.608696, "median_excess_return": -0.036923, "regime_survival": 0.869565, "best_return": 0.6875, "worst_return": -0.346535, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": -0.066502, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.6875, "median_excess_return": -0.120598, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.298969, "worst_return": -0.389381, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.143137, "positive_rate": 0.125, "directional_follow_through": 0.875, "median_excess_return": -0.2282, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.145455, "worst_return": -0.424073, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-05-03", "end": "2024-05-17", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.163636, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-05-24", "end": "2024-06-28", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.215686, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-07-05", "end": "2024-08-09", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.217742, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-08-16", "end": "2024-08-23", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.08547, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-08-30", "end": "2025-04-04", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.105691, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-04-11", "end": "2025-06-20", "tenure": 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] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.079, "volume": 288000, "typical_volume": 2231540.0, "trend": 0.085433, "fair_value": 0.109859, "relative_strength": -27.240657, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.512433, "energy": 59.990723, "activity_lines": [ 0.078533, 0.080418, 0.081452, 0.082746 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.08, "volume": 140600, "typical_volume": 2090050.0, "trend": 0.084867, "fair_value": 0.109468, "relative_strength": -26.569686, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -54.304464, "energy": 41.279066, "activity_lines": [ 0.078933, 0.080018, 0.081343, 0.082396 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.078, "volume": 692700, "typical_volume": 2046870.0, "trend": 0.084333, "fair_value": 0.109071, "relative_strength": -28.071861, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.616295, "energy": 32.887699, "activity_lines": [ 0.078733, 0.079345, 0.081043, 0.081953 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.077, "volume": 511900, "typical_volume": 1950205.0, "trend": 0.083767, "fair_value": 0.108731, "relative_strength": -29.068706, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.114598, "energy": 32.221604, "activity_lines": [ 0.0782, 0.078691, 0.080652, 0.08148 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }