{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "fa22d644-923c-4cf6-9dce-a4c3cb23be3c",
    "symbol": "TDSC",
    "name": "ETC CABANA TARGET DRAWDOWN 10 ETF",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 72.601,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 75.699,
    "architecture_energy": 48.657,
    "architecture_maturity": 50.432,
    "architecture_confidence": 69.927,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 25.6,
        "rotation_up": 52.91,
        "upward_expansion": 79.49,
        "deceleration": 63.29,
        "rotation_down": 25.45,
        "downward_expansion": 6.16
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 28.2354,
    "trend_reference": 26.967681,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.047009,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 23.993466,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.176795,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -5.407902,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.072001,
    "excess_performance": -0.115453,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.047009,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.031416,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.176795,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.009295,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.054079,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.041848,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.072001,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.867607,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 39398,
      "relative_activity": 0.869283,
      "balance": 2.867607,
      "dry_up": 0.59705,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.016371,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.080233,
      "from_high_reference": -0.000163,
      "from_low_reference": 0.175431
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 26.967681,
      "fair_value_reference": 23.993466,
      "structural_low": 25.52,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 27,
        "median_return": 0.004473,
        "positive_rate": 0.703704,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.703704,
        "median_excess_return": 0.000745,
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        "worst_return": -0.044199,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "worst_return": -0.034319,
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 50600.3,
        "trend": 26.735311,
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        "relative_strength": -4.309181,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 57.061534,
        "energy": 42.214355,
        "activity_lines": [
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          27.394482,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 27.6981,
        "volume": 21394,
        "typical_volume": 46918.2,
        "trend": 26.807987,
        "fair_value": 23.902001,
        "relative_strength": -2.211691,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 57.183573,
        "energy": 41.187624,
        "activity_lines": [
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          27.186407
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 27.6059,
        "volume": 22293,
        "typical_volume": 44828.15,
        "trend": 26.883582,
        "fair_value": 23.945276,
        "relative_strength": -2.943199,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 54.49289,
        "energy": 37.613687,
        "activity_lines": [
          27.660273,
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          27.503211,
          27.237885
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 28.2354,
        "volume": 39398,
        "typical_volume": 45322.4,
        "trend": 26.967681,
        "fair_value": 23.993466,
        "relative_strength": -5.407902,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 75.698783,
        "energy": 48.657223,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}