{ "ticker": { "uuid": "fa38e1cb-f082-456c-8db7-10ee43a5fdf3", "symbol": "TII", "name": "Texas Instruments Incorporated", "exchange": "GER", "country": "DE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GDAXI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 29.169, "architecture_energy": 25.567, "architecture_maturity": 71.878, "architecture_confidence": 91.032, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 44.3, "rotation_up": 21.74, "upward_expansion": 55.83, "deceleration": 91.14, "rotation_down": 34.22, "downward_expansion": 19.49 }, "activity_lines": [ 245.585331, 252.236309, 251.383767, 236.853981 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 246.899994, "trend_reference": 217.345316, "distance_from_trend": 0.13598, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 168.040999, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.469284, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 21.126645, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.323292, "excess_performance": 0.258652, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.13598, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.20209, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.469284, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.082578, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.211266, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.25781, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.323292, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.727354, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3396, "relative_activity": 1.00579, "balance": 0.727354, "dry_up": 2.035126, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.075619, "annualized_volatility": 0.413622, "from_high_reference": -0.150379, "from_low_reference": 0.891516 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 217.345316, "fair_value_reference": 168.040999, "structural_low": 160.894278, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.021824, "positive_rate": 0.538462, "directional_follow_through": 0.538462, "median_excess_return": -0.010847, "regime_survival": 0.538462, "best_return": 0.361314, "worst_return": -0.14711, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.039329, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.023662, "regime_survival": 0.142857, "best_return": 0.72689, "worst_return": -0.139442, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.029099, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.129986, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.246856, "worst_return": -0.070481, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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166.698855, "relative_strength": 26.847293, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 42.367414, "energy": 31.179399, "activity_lines": [ 252.688714, 258.108326, 249.45128, 232.944445 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 239.6, "volume": 4528, "typical_volume": 3271.3, "trend": 214.45725, "fair_value": 167.340377, "relative_strength": 21.587875, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 34.788307, "energy": 24.131918, "activity_lines": [ 247.131683, 254.2355, 250.243619, 234.7609 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 246.899994, "volume": 3396, "typical_volume": 3376.45, "trend": 217.345316, "fair_value": 168.040999, "relative_strength": 21.126645, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 29.169295, "energy": 25.566556, "activity_lines": [ 245.585331, 252.236309, 251.383767, 236.853981 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }