{ "ticker": { "uuid": "fa3c1f9b-5f9e-4aeb-96af-7b9d3a9f8f64", "symbol": "300525", "name": "Fujian Boss Software Corp.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -43.007, "architecture_energy": 30.043, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 18.82, "rotation_up": 30.43, "upward_expansion": 19.51, "deceleration": 44.17, "rotation_down": 36.32, "downward_expansion": 69.51 }, "activity_lines": [ 8.500667, 8.239636, 8.626987, 9.244047 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 9.02, "trend_reference": 10.351683, "distance_from_trend": -0.128644, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 13.649276, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.339159, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -28.144341, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.321294, "excess_performance": -0.328694, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.128644, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.150551, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.339159, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.070316, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.281443, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.106503, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.321294, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.264931, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 220683514, "relative_activity": 3.287544, "balance": 0.264931, "dry_up": 2.009328, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 7 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.09102, "annualized_volatility": 0.47138, "from_high_reference": -0.464371, "from_low_reference": 0.252778 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 10.351683, "fair_value_reference": 13.649276, "structural_low": 7.2, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 31, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.483871, "directional_follow_through": 0.483871, "median_excess_return": 0.0053, "regime_survival": 0.83871, "best_return": 0.28036, "worst_return": -0.139303, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.017693, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.010814, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.520072, "worst_return": -0.268238, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.092905, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.031882, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.623295, "worst_return": -0.235719, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -76.072649, "energy": 83.125494, "activity_lines": [ 7.826, 8.286109, 9.034139, 9.87489 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 7.5, "volume": 80529538, "typical_volume": 55673091.5, "trend": 10.861016, "fair_value": 13.77956, "relative_strength": -40.785438, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.84335, "energy": 77.497225, "activity_lines": [ 7.626, 8.063485, 8.823279, 9.644588 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 7.45, "volume": 81801314, "typical_volume": 54969167.95, "trend": 10.65635, "fair_value": 13.732073, "relative_strength": -40.391326, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.936719, "energy": 68.685731, "activity_lines": [ 7.521333, 7.884809, 8.63142, 9.424523 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 9.36, "volume": 156507565, "typical_volume": 58717165.85, "trend": 10.521016, "fair_value": 13.689513, "relative_strength": -22.86101, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.542137, "energy": 47.347156, "activity_lines": [ 8.131333, 8.093271, 8.640655, 9.340887 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 9.02, "volume": 220683514, "typical_volume": 67127163.25, "trend": 10.351683, "fair_value": 13.649276, "relative_strength": -28.144341, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -43.007234, "energy": 30.042641, "activity_lines": [ 8.500667, 8.239636, 8.626987, 9.244047 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }