{ "ticker": { "uuid": "fa400c33-9463-4acd-8ff9-27b0fa8d12fa", "symbol": "TCIEXP", "name": "TCI Express Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 76.396, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 50.313, "architecture_energy": 42.739, "architecture_maturity": 7.812, "architecture_confidence": 83.975, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 38.25, "rotation_up": 54.76, "upward_expansion": 78.8, "deceleration": 52.27, "rotation_down": 16.37, "downward_expansion": 10.13 }, "activity_lines": [ 556.240006, 548.573639, 537.327142, 532.568027 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 554.599976, "trend_reference": 529.377836, "distance_from_trend": 0.047645, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 868.853872, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.361688, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -2.817872, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.041065, "excess_performance": 0.002644, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.047645, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.023103, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.361688, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.041942, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.028179, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.034647, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.041065, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 7.267652, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1987502, "relative_activity": 4.849535, "balance": 7.267652, "dry_up": 2.04537, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.081812, "annualized_volatility": 0.399558, "from_high_reference": -0.280307, "from_low_reference": 0.239191 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 529.377836, "fair_value_reference": 868.853872, "structural_low": 447.549988, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.021415, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": -0.016315, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.260781, "worst_return": -0.015918, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.032924, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.066927, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.352135, "worst_return": -0.106074, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.188819, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.146602, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.478296, "worst_return": -0.235982, 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"regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 50.313369, "energy": 42.739019, "activity_lines": [ 556.240006, 548.573639, 537.327142, 532.568027 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }