{ "ticker": { "uuid": "fa4e7f7b-df59-433a-bf98-9385b29fd8a7", "symbol": "300027", "name": "Huayi Brothers Media Corporation", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -31.351, "architecture_energy": 18.103, "architecture_maturity": 14.493, "architecture_confidence": 75.634, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 44.08, "rotation_up": 24.76, "upward_expansion": 16.96, "deceleration": 53.02, "rotation_down": 39.41, "downward_expansion": 62.3 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.731333, 1.721818, 1.76419, 1.77557 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 1.8, "trend_reference": 1.836333, "distance_from_trend": -0.019786, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2.371795, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.241081, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -19.789418, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.189189, "excess_performance": -0.196589, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.019786, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.111165, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.241081, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.052845, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.197894, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.120203, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.189189, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.248468, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 189468958, "relative_activity": 0.515313, "balance": 0.248468, "dry_up": 0.442587, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.090598, "annualized_volatility": 0.632168, "from_high_reference": -0.447853, "from_low_reference": 0.258741 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.836333, "fair_value_reference": 2.371795, "structural_low": 1.43, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 32, "median_return": -0.003385, "positive_rate": 0.46875, "directional_follow_through": 0.53125, "median_excess_return": -0.008426, "regime_survival": 0.8125, "best_return": 0.348387, "worst_return": -0.236, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.047431, "positive_rate": 0.416667, "directional_follow_through": 0.583333, "median_excess_return": 0.036367, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.590361, "worst_return": -0.266355, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.017167, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.142445, "regime_survival": 0.142857, "best_return": 0.390351, "worst_return": -0.257009, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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388431582.05, "trend": 1.861333, "fair_value": 2.386346, "relative_strength": -28.095417, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.481314, "energy": 51.212366, "activity_lines": [ 1.657333, 1.703636, 1.755952, 1.783312 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.79, "volume": 180698266, "typical_volume": 380748873.5, "trend": 1.848667, "fair_value": 2.379038, "relative_strength": -17.234498, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.805065, "energy": 31.241829, "activity_lines": [ 1.699333, 1.711091, 1.75981, 1.77871 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.8, "volume": 189468958, "typical_volume": 367677142.65, "trend": 1.836333, "fair_value": 2.371795, "relative_strength": -19.789418, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -31.351324, "energy": 18.103212, "activity_lines": [ 1.731333, 1.721818, 1.76419, 1.77557 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }