{ "ticker": { "uuid": "fa544f82-9a09-42e5-8dc5-6311ba031c54", "symbol": "VRCI", "name": "Verici Dx plc", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -79.328, "architecture_energy": 78.248, "architecture_maturity": 58.0, "architecture_confidence": 84.264, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 6.97, "rotation_up": 13.85, "upward_expansion": 16.82, "deceleration": 38.82, "rotation_down": 74.49, "downward_expansion": 92.48 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.00275, 0.003136, 0.003643, 0.004125 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 0.00225, "trend_reference": 0.004882, "distance_from_trend": -0.539092, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.040566, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.944535, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -64.213953, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.689655, "excess_performance": -0.74089, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.539092, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.224927, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.944535, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.040128, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.64214, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.230862, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.689655, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.0, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 9035956, "relative_activity": 1.695732, "balance": 0.0, "dry_up": 1.105049, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.357949, "annualized_volatility": 0.658032, "from_high_reference": -0.773642, "from_low_reference": 0.125 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.004882, "fair_value_reference": 0.040566, "structural_low": 0.002, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 37, "median_return": -0.114286, "positive_rate": 0.243243, "directional_follow_through": 0.675676, "median_excess_return": -0.119099, "regime_survival": 0.891892, "best_return": 1.218182, "worst_return": -0.4, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.234574, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.251775, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.617647, "worst_return": -0.58, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.487241, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.534526, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.083333, "worst_return": -0.6, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"blue", "start": "2024-01-26", "end": "2024-03-01", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.184211, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-03-08", "end": "2024-03-29", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.097561, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-04-05", "end": "2024-04-19", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.012346, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2024-04-26", "end": "2024-05-24", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.103448, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-05-31", "end": "2025-01-24", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.451613, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-01-31", "end": "2025-02-21", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.166667, "active": false }, { "regime": 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"down", "direction": -65.224213, "energy": 50.3349, "activity_lines": [ 0.0036, 0.003723, 0.004137, 0.004619 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.0035, "volume": 891647, "typical_volume": 4729963.7, "trend": 0.005223, "fair_value": 0.041788, "relative_strength": -44.893082, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.681456, "energy": 47.522335, "activity_lines": [ 0.00355, 0.003655, 0.004039, 0.004498 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.00225, "volume": 13144304, "typical_volume": 5270698.6, "trend": 0.005057, "fair_value": 0.041161, "relative_strength": -64.543647, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -84.438653, "energy": 64.39362, "activity_lines": [ 0.0031, 0.003377, 0.003833, 0.004307 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.00225, "volume": 9035956, "typical_volume": 5328647.5, "trend": 0.004882, "fair_value": 0.040566, "relative_strength": -64.213953, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -79.327651, "energy": 78.248394, "activity_lines": [ 0.00275, 0.003136, 0.003643, 0.004125 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }