{ "ticker": { "uuid": "fa5bae3f-e4e3-4489-b588-677c9a238584", "symbol": "MXCT", "name": "MaxCyte Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 37.751, "architecture_energy": 21.671, "architecture_maturity": 64.265, "architecture_confidence": 76.748, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 46.12, "rotation_up": 30.42, "upward_expansion": 59.84, "deceleration": 85.25, "rotation_down": 28.29, "downward_expansion": 18.84 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.143333, 1.174455, 1.123201, 1.049348 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 1.18, "trend_reference": 0.984213, "distance_from_trend": 0.198927, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2.907028, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.594087, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -15.507654, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.460396, "excess_performance": 0.272942, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.198927, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.112025, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.594087, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.141067, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.155077, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.372197, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.460396, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.891565, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2517407, "relative_activity": 0.482771, "balance": 1.891565, "dry_up": 0.810993, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.150508, "annualized_volatility": 0.602045, "from_high_reference": -0.367292, "from_low_reference": 0.834007 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.984213, "fair_value_reference": 2.907028, "structural_low": 0.6434, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.106335, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.060356, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": -0.037037, "worst_return": -0.301994, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.199179, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.263653, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.010893, "worst_return": -0.387464, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.325289, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.463552, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.052288, "worst_return": -0.598291, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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49.157195, "energy": 59.444353, "activity_lines": [ 1.251333, 1.198696, 1.069115, 1.018005 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 1.24, "volume": 6600598, "typical_volume": 5445686.05, "trend": 1.02688, "fair_value": 2.9669, "relative_strength": -12.350089, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.510856, "energy": 55.186987, "activity_lines": [ 1.257, 1.217091, 1.094912, 1.031195 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.08, "volume": 3306508, "typical_volume": 5247299.1, "trend": 1.009213, "fair_value": 2.945105, "relative_strength": -20.61381, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 56.7245, "energy": 38.323493, "activity_lines": [ 1.201333, 1.199182, 1.10343, 1.034622 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.05, "volume": 4491159, "typical_volume": 5280509.0, "trend": 0.992547, "fair_value": 2.924079, "relative_strength": -21.594813, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 40.80258, "energy": 24.844259, "activity_lines": [ 1.144333, 1.175091, 1.107673, 1.037254 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.18, "volume": 2517407, "typical_volume": 5214495.95, "trend": 0.984213, "fair_value": 2.907028, "relative_strength": -15.507654, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 37.750921, "energy": 21.671363, "activity_lines": [ 1.143333, 1.174455, 1.123201, 1.049348 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }