{ "ticker": { "uuid": "fa5bd3df-1192-4281-9164-aa0d23e064ff", "symbol": "WNH", "name": "$ Autagco Ltd", "exchange": "SES", "country": "SG", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^STI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -24.288, "architecture_energy": 10.745, "architecture_maturity": 25.216, "architecture_confidence": 69.026, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 53.41, "rotation_up": 26.35, "upward_expansion": 16.09, "deceleration": 36.11, "rotation_down": 36.04, "downward_expansion": 63.76 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.0036, 0.003527, 0.003614, 0.003697 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 0.004, "trend_reference": 0.0038, "distance_from_trend": 0.052632, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.004538, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.118644, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -25.542075, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.0, "excess_performance": -0.154835, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.052632, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.161765, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.118644, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.213738, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.255421, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.141483, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.0, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 381.873197, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 41123100, "relative_activity": 1.854373, "balance": 381.873197, "dry_up": 3.906834, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.25, "annualized_volatility": 0.813688, "from_high_reference": -0.333333, "from_low_reference": 1.0 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.0038, "fair_value_reference": 0.004538, "structural_low": 0.002, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 22, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.272727, "directional_follow_through": 0.227273, "median_excess_return": -0.01758, "regime_survival": 0.681818, "best_return": 2.0, "worst_return": -0.5, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.1, "positive_rate": 0.125, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.117834, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.5, "worst_return": -0.5, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.333333, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.38027, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 1.0, "worst_return": -0.5, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.333333, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.367955, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.0, "worst_return": -0.4, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-11-22", "end": "2025-01-10", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-01-17", "end": "2025-04-04", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.333333, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-04-11", "end": "2025-09-19", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-09-26", "end": "2025-10-17", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", 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"activity_lines": [ 0.0034, 0.0036, 0.003705, 0.003824 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.003, "volume": 25118400, "typical_volume": 6565687.5, "trend": 0.004033, "fair_value": 0.004532, "relative_strength": -43.277229, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.558723, "energy": 48.615092, "activity_lines": [ 0.0032, 0.003491, 0.003629, 0.003751 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.003, "volume": 16458200, "typical_volume": 6938422.5, "trend": 0.003933, "fair_value": 0.004526, "relative_strength": -43.624288, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.630857, "energy": 53.285032, "activity_lines": [ 0.003067, 0.003382, 0.003557, 0.003684 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.004, "volume": 263856500, "typical_volume": 20120180.0, "trend": 0.003867, "fair_value": 0.004526, "relative_strength": -24.986504, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -40.463186, "energy": 31.528317, "activity_lines": [ 0.003333, 0.003455, 0.003586, 0.003688 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.004, "volume": 41123100, "typical_volume": 22176282.5, "trend": 0.0038, "fair_value": 0.004538, "relative_strength": -25.542075, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -24.287894, "energy": 10.74529, "activity_lines": [ 0.0036, 0.003527, 0.003614, 0.003697 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }