{ "ticker": { "uuid": "fa5f1d83-1858-4426-b48d-13a51a1a2f43", "symbol": "XHR", "name": "Xenia Hotels & Resorts Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 61.927, "architecture_energy": 56.057, "architecture_maturity": 86.749, "architecture_confidence": 73.476, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 13.12, "rotation_up": 49.8, "upward_expansion": 80.86, "deceleration": 71.44, "rotation_down": 27.42, "downward_expansion": 9.86 }, "activity_lines": [ 20.400667, 20.36782, 19.218536, 18.218805 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 19.41, "trend_reference": 17.043099, "distance_from_trend": 0.138877, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 13.581783, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.42912, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 11.531365, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.259205, "excess_performance": 0.133581, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.138877, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.134988, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.42912, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.118029, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.115314, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.022457, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.259205, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.654067, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3974103, "relative_activity": 1.05215, "balance": 1.654067, "dry_up": 0.932863, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.062188, "annualized_volatility": 0.278245, "from_high_reference": -0.120127, "from_low_reference": 0.684019 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 17.043099, "fair_value_reference": 13.581783, "structural_low": 13.987949, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 18, "median_return": 0.00181, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": -0.013917, "regime_survival": 0.722222, "best_return": 0.19025, "worst_return": -0.112029, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.049416, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.285714, "median_excess_return": -0.083187, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.406516, "worst_return": -0.21778, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.06681, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.089311, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.068349, "worst_return": -0.257233, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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"relative_strength": 21.899119, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.12549, "energy": 87.292993, "activity_lines": [ 20.222492, 19.349789, 17.972237, 17.171326 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 21.0, "volume": 2609479, "typical_volume": 3646130.5, "trend": 16.443265, "fair_value": 13.400264, "relative_strength": 27.971683, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 78.149347, "energy": 86.233376, "activity_lines": [ 20.529936, 19.798438, 18.364316, 17.478869 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 21.49, "volume": 2760034, "typical_volume": 3624535.25, "trend": 16.677632, "fair_value": 13.464434, "relative_strength": 30.743623, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 80.401974, "energy": 72.626394, "activity_lines": [ 20.888526, 20.261882, 18.775143, 17.804465 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 20.58, "volume": 4750551, "typical_volume": 3742554.25, "trend": 16.890102, "fair_value": 13.526365, "relative_strength": 23.015636, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.405056, "energy": 64.370472, "activity_lines": [ 20.836667, 20.456441, 19.068155, 18.056231 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 19.41, "volume": 3974103, "typical_volume": 3777124.85, "trend": 17.043099, "fair_value": 13.581783, "relative_strength": 11.531365, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.926986, "energy": 56.057146, "activity_lines": [ 20.400667, 20.36782, 19.218536, 18.218805 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }