{ "ticker": { "uuid": "fa711d25-0fd5-47b2-b4bb-9dbead0c764b", "symbol": "300127", "name": "Chengdu Galaxy Magnets Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -63.455, "architecture_energy": 71.384, "architecture_maturity": 44.88, "architecture_confidence": 82.223, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.22, "rotation_up": 10.57, "upward_expansion": 15.66, "deceleration": 38.6, "rotation_down": 71.73, "downward_expansion": 88.99 }, "activity_lines": [ 24.335334, 25.494179, 27.181672, 28.50222 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 27.02, "trend_reference": 30.393871, "distance_from_trend": -0.111005, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 23.619476, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.143971, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -16.293069, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.237585, "excess_performance": -0.244984, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.111005, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.052517, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.143971, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.24409, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.162931, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.009498, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.237585, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.11685, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 47792080, "relative_activity": 1.941715, "balance": 1.11685, "dry_up": 1.098294, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.105984, "annualized_volatility": 0.526598, "from_high_reference": -0.378851, "from_low_reference": 0.261438 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 30.393871, "fair_value_reference": 23.619476, "structural_low": 21.42, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 18, "median_return": 0.033449, "positive_rate": 0.611111, "directional_follow_through": 0.388889, "median_excess_return": -0.006728, "regime_survival": 0.777778, "best_return": 0.258258, "worst_return": -0.215871, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.001996, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": 0.00906, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 1.434685, "worst_return": -0.134924, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.006766, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.005333, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.975225, "worst_return": -0.113596, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"close": 22.1, "volume": 20218540, "typical_volume": 24324751.65, "trend": 30.759204, "fair_value": 23.549118, "relative_strength": -29.931729, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -83.279148, "energy": 88.005351, "activity_lines": [ 24.266001, 26.14779, 27.844207, 29.206956 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 23.32, "volume": 17693493, "typical_volume": 23351943.2, "trend": 30.504204, "fair_value": 23.565668, "relative_strength": -24.312557, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.418555, "energy": 86.264127, "activity_lines": [ 23.538, 25.415038, 27.31332, 28.727008 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 27.02, "volume": 47792080, "typical_volume": 24613329.15, "trend": 30.393871, "fair_value": 23.619476, "relative_strength": -16.293069, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.455168, "energy": 71.384303, "activity_lines": [ 24.335334, 25.494179, 27.181672, 28.50222 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }