{ "ticker": { "uuid": "fa8d11d0-7055-4adf-bddf-434b069bf62a", "symbol": "SADBHIN", "name": "Sadbhav Infrastructure Project Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -57.625, "architecture_energy": 62.377, "architecture_maturity": 14.575, "architecture_confidence": 86.546, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 24.61, "rotation_up": 10.67, "upward_expansion": 13.27, "deceleration": 38.03, "rotation_down": 65.0, "downward_expansion": 84.27 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.539333, 2.626364, 2.703571, 2.766839 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 2.61, "trend_reference": 2.923333, "distance_from_trend": -0.107184, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 4.939936, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.471653, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -20.419275, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.318538, "excess_performance": -0.274829, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.107184, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.104554, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.471653, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.029576, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.204193, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.035739, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.318538, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.909582, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 781480, "relative_activity": 0.817932, "balance": 0.909582, "dry_up": 0.911601, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.096964, "annualized_volatility": 0.653814, "from_high_reference": -0.48008, "from_low_reference": 0.26699 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.923333, "fair_value_reference": 4.939936, "structural_low": 2.06, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 41, "median_return": -0.034483, "positive_rate": 0.365854, "directional_follow_through": 0.634146, "median_excess_return": -0.046052, "regime_survival": 0.902439, "best_return": 0.343486, "worst_return": -0.29589, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": -0.074594, "positive_rate": 0.214286, "directional_follow_through": 0.785714, "median_excess_return": -0.122759, "regime_survival": 0.785714, "best_return": 0.283333, "worst_return": -0.504132, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.313524, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.275368, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.6, "worst_return": -0.538462, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-04-12", "end": "2024-06-21", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.218543, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2024-06-28", "end": "2024-07-26", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.0373, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-08-02", "end": "2024-08-23", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.368866, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-08-30", "end": "2024-10-04", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.151134, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-10-11", "end": "2025-01-24", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.156018, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-01-31", "end": "2025-06-06", "tenure": "Established", 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"activity_lines": [ 2.682, 2.760364, 2.769048, 2.863247 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 2.26, "volume": 888238, "typical_volume": 1137397.45, "trend": 2.998667, "fair_value": 4.955962, "relative_strength": -29.865913, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -81.271959, "energy": 75.18284, "activity_lines": [ 2.525333, 2.664545, 2.720524, 2.812323 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.64, "volume": 786450, "typical_volume": 1092337.0, "trend": 2.956333, "fair_value": 4.949167, "relative_strength": -19.502095, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.115308, "energy": 64.322789, "activity_lines": [ 2.534667, 2.648, 2.712571, 2.789183 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.61, "volume": 781480, "typical_volume": 955433.45, "trend": 2.923333, "fair_value": 4.939936, "relative_strength": -20.419275, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.624715, "energy": 62.376823, "activity_lines": [ 2.539333, 2.626364, 2.703571, 2.766839 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }