{ "ticker": { "uuid": "fa8eb695-6e31-46e2-a0d3-061d9a7c36a4", "symbol": "TRP", "name": "Tissue Repair Ltd", "exchange": "ASX", "country": "AU", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^AXJO", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -77.709, "architecture_energy": 70.628, "architecture_maturity": 71.13, "architecture_confidence": 88.965, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 16.74, "rotation_up": 21.08, "upward_expansion": 12.0, "deceleration": 49.53, "rotation_down": 66.98, "downward_expansion": 85.33 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.089267, 0.097073, 0.108043, 0.122019 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 0.083, "trend_reference": 0.149367, "distance_from_trend": -0.44432, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.246609, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.663435, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -63.983441, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.551351, "excess_performance": -0.615057, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.44432, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.35058, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.663435, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.141259, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.639834, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.148795, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.551351, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.127187, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 503152, "relative_activity": 1.911261, "balance": 0.127187, "dry_up": 2.677361, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.156627, "annualized_volatility": 0.712387, "from_high_reference": -0.827083, "from_low_reference": 0.509091 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.149367, "fair_value_reference": 0.246609, "structural_low": 0.055, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 21, "median_return": -0.021739, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.52381, "median_excess_return": -0.022414, "regime_survival": 0.809524, "best_return": 0.688889, "worst_return": -0.225806, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.06383, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.065486, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.840909, "worst_return": -0.388889, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.019545, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.064838, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 1.171429, "worst_return": -0.326923, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.63695, "energy": 75.001772, "activity_lines": [ 0.111, 0.120455, 0.137, 0.16886 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-19", "close": 0.1, "volume": 122800, "typical_volume": 275890.7, "trend": 0.210333, "fair_value": 0.255032, "relative_strength": -58.18026, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -81.593403, "energy": 85.235789, "activity_lines": [ 0.106333, 0.114818, 0.132119, 0.161344 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 0.105, "volume": 4943, "typical_volume": 202453.55, "trend": 0.204167, "fair_value": 0.253974, "relative_strength": -55.495198, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.319996, "energy": 68.232728, "activity_lines": [ 0.105, 0.111182, 0.128214, 0.154548 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 0.12, "volume": 2878, "typical_volume": 173237.7, "trend": 0.197333, "fair_value": 0.252853, "relative_strength": -49.141319, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.064369, "energy": 65.676328, "activity_lines": [ 0.109667, 0.111455, 0.126119, 0.149118 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 0.11, "volume": 79001, "typical_volume": 155484.2, "trend": 0.187333, "fair_value": 0.251571, "relative_strength": -52.688038, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.663594, "energy": 63.709158, "activity_lines": [ 0.110333, 0.110545, 0.123357, 0.143484 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.11, "volume": 27181, "typical_volume": 146302.15, "trend": 0.178833, "fair_value": 0.250481, "relative_strength": -52.178643, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.61283, "energy": 55.191734, "activity_lines": [ 0.110667, 0.11, 0.120857, 0.138495 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.078, "volume": 1907557, "typical_volume": 235565.85, "trend": 0.168767, "fair_value": 0.249186, "relative_strength": -65.548897, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -86.452203, "energy": 66.108546, "activity_lines": [ 0.100333, 0.103909, 0.115643, 0.131989 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.09, "volume": 381442, "typical_volume": 246322.85, "trend": 0.158767, "fair_value": 0.24784, "relative_strength": -60.584155, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.885601, "energy": 68.011949, "activity_lines": [ 0.095467, 0.100855, 0.111986, 0.126908 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.083, "volume": 503152, "typical_volume": 263256.6, "trend": 0.149367, "fair_value": 0.246609, "relative_strength": -63.983441, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -77.709425, "energy": 70.627866, "activity_lines": [ 0.089267, 0.097073, 0.108043, 0.122019 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }