{ "ticker": { "uuid": "fa91c74a-3817-4c12-bafa-5eb612fbea31", "symbol": "RHM", "name": "Rheinmetall AG", "exchange": "VIE", "country": "AT", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^ATX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -47.526, "architecture_energy": 39.103, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 90.306, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 25.12, "rotation_up": 27.26, "upward_expansion": 17.89, "deceleration": 46.68, "rotation_down": 40.27, "downward_expansion": 67.89 }, "activity_lines": [ 1092.120003, 1079.010897, 1139.989412, 1226.838898 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 1147.800049, "trend_reference": 1363.020744, "distance_from_trend": -0.1579, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 973.19738, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.179411, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -39.011254, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.259967, "excess_performance": -0.434214, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.1579, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.110229, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.179411, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.156153, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.390113, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.002774, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.259967, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.782174, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 704, "relative_activity": 1.564618, "balance": 0.782174, "dry_up": 2.616957, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.095118, "annualized_volatility": 0.628566, "from_high_reference": -0.420369, "from_low_reference": 0.231809 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1363.020744, "fair_value_reference": 973.19738, 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"Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.750068, "energy": 86.351794, "activity_lines": [ 1017.386642, 1083.938156, 1181.042344, 1283.559609 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1036.199951, "volume": 998, "typical_volume": 387.75, "trend": 1401.200374, "fair_value": 961.791072, "relative_strength": -44.682055, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.002114, "energy": 72.523948, "activity_lines": [ 1015.213302, 1067.483606, 1158.013857, 1258.959431 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1143.0, "volume": 1024, "typical_volume": 423.1, "trend": 1387.467932, "fair_value": 967.467287, "relative_strength": -38.177597, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.771179, "energy": 51.938729, "activity_lines": [ 1059.506645, 1071.999975, 1147.737951, 1242.301342 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1147.800049, "volume": 704, "typical_volume": 449.95, "trend": 1363.020744, "fair_value": 973.19738, "relative_strength": -39.011254, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -47.526177, "energy": 39.10287, "activity_lines": [ 1092.120003, 1079.010897, 1139.989412, 1226.838898 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }