{ "ticker": { "uuid": "faa54ff7-e914-46be-8481-faa63691d747", "symbol": "DSFI", "name": "DSM-Firmenich AG", "exchange": "VIE", "country": "AT", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^ATX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 86.466, "architecture_energy": 73.905, "architecture_maturity": 47.345, "architecture_confidence": 70.135, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 4.54, "rotation_up": 80.16, "upward_expansion": 87.67, "deceleration": 62.58, "rotation_down": 12.83, "downward_expansion": 12.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 89.578666, 85.994182, 79.022125, 74.085035 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 94.019997, "trend_reference": 68.929075, "distance_from_trend": 0.364011, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 84.343407, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.114728, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 9.659333, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.385749, "excess_performance": 0.211502, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.364011, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.080429, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.114728, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.356439, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.096593, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.353164, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.385749, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.650216, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 5922, "relative_activity": 1.556005, "balance": 1.650216, "dry_up": 2.468076, "accumulation_observations": 6, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.054571, "annualized_volatility": 0.374905, "from_high_reference": -0.009482, "from_low_reference": 0.764227 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 68.929075, "fair_value_reference": 84.343407, "structural_low": 53.292474, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.111455, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.136377, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.111455, "worst_return": 0.111455, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, 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"modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 90.815378, "energy": 74.919818, "activity_lines": [ 86.885334, 83.470182, 76.845969, 72.403605 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 94.019997, "volume": 5922, "typical_volume": 3805.9, "trend": 68.929075, "fair_value": 84.343407, "relative_strength": 9.659333, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 86.465784, "energy": 73.904745, "activity_lines": [ 89.578666, 85.994182, 79.022125, 74.085035 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }