{ "ticker": { "uuid": "fab4c846-2c61-46db-b0fb-84df78e4b9f6", "symbol": "PURVA", "name": "Puravankara Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 87.487, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 0.579, "architecture_energy": 4.383, "architecture_maturity": 32.592, "architecture_confidence": 51.05, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 63.08, "rotation_up": 26.85, "upward_expansion": 24.55, "deceleration": 57.99, "rotation_down": 38.57, "downward_expansion": 31.22 }, "activity_lines": [ 214.242664, 215.952726, 215.608047, 212.772515 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 212.369995, "trend_reference": 213.808, "distance_from_trend": -0.006726, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 273.982042, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.224876, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -8.34059, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.109112, "excess_performance": -0.065402, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.006726, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.04353, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.224876, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.054436, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.083406, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.011028, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.109112, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.727552, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 659873, "relative_activity": 0.174767, "balance": 0.727552, "dry_up": 1.260882, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.077912, "annualized_volatility": 0.43045, "from_high_reference": -0.303705, "from_low_reference": 0.321613 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 213.808, "fair_value_reference": 273.982042, "structural_low": 160.690002, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.019807, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.028768, "regime_survival": 0.583333, "best_return": 0.187465, "worst_return": -0.326196, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.069962, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.099657, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.271404, "worst_return": -0.37139, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.118596, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.137607, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.839254, "worst_return": -0.285361, "sufficient": 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"modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 21.794653, "energy": 19.908723, "activity_lines": [ 218.938668, 217.974728, 215.164476, 213.214086 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 210.789993, "volume": 647305, "typical_volume": 3809532.8, "trend": 214.511666, "fair_value": 273.2843, "relative_strength": -8.753659, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 2.970891, "energy": 4.980659, "activity_lines": [ 216.254665, 216.685454, 215.382142, 212.910688 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 212.369995, "volume": 659873, "typical_volume": 3775719.4, "trend": 213.808, "fair_value": 273.982042, "relative_strength": -8.34059, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 0.579496, "energy": 4.382675, "activity_lines": [ 214.242664, 215.952726, 215.608047, 212.772515 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }