{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "fab5a8ff-4bbf-4690-b762-31f591b2d7f1",
    "symbol": "4190",
    "name": "Jourdeness Group Limited",
    "exchange": "TAI",
    "country": "TW",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-14",
    "benchmark": "^TWII",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 91.308,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -22.49,
    "architecture_energy": 12.701,
    "architecture_maturity": 26.019,
    "architecture_confidence": 74.537,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 59.12,
        "rotation_up": 26.73,
        "upward_expansion": 24.83,
        "deceleration": 48.35,
        "rotation_down": 25.87,
        "downward_expansion": 46.83
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        25.199693,
        25.08684,
        24.970627,
        25.392894
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.0
    },
    "latest_close": 24.65,
    "trend_reference": 26.191321,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.058849,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 41.473041,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.405638,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -40.041881,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.135981,
    "excess_performance": -0.577353,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.058849,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.059162,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.405638,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.068367,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.400419,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.087419,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.135981,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.895369,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 55033,
      "relative_activity": 0.246835,
      "balance": 0.895369,
      "dry_up": 0.590941,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.06255,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.263959,
      "from_high_reference": -0.287735,
      "from_low_reference": 0.060884
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 26.191321,
      "fair_value_reference": 41.473041,
      "structural_low": 23.23534,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 12,
        "median_return": 0.01452,
        "positive_rate": 0.583333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.583333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.00912,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.172054,
        "worst_return": -0.106762,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.017409,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.043677,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.270602,
        "worst_return": -0.057772,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.004189,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.006813,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.122206,
        "worst_return": -0.068506,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.222386,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.395018,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.162921,
        "worst_return": -0.295032,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2022-08-12",
        "end": "2022-10-14",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.051547,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2022-10-21",
        "end": "2022-12-09",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.169034,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2022-12-16",
        "end": "2023-01-13",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.104477,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2023-02-24",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.109165,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2023-05-19",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.001863,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2023-07-21",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.010114,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2023-07-28",
        "end": "2023-08-04",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.014103,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2023-08-11",
        "end": "2024-08-23",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.293185,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-08-30",
        "end": "2024-10-25",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.142276,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2024-11-22",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "end": "2024-12-20",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-01-10",
        "end": "2026-07-24",
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        "return": -0.378605,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "color": "blue",
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        "active": true
      }
    ],
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        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "date": "2026-07-10",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 25.980442,
        "volume": 251134,
        "typical_volume": 235005.6,
        "trend": 26.602991,
        "fair_value": 42.413486,
        "relative_strength": -37.204024,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -23.631492,
        "energy": 16.364442,
        "activity_lines": [
          25.23861,
          24.974201,
          25.017788,
          25.645948
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 25.343185,
        "volume": 174641,
        "typical_volume": 238402.0,
        "trend": 26.469004,
        "fair_value": 42.091242,
        "relative_strength": -36.871885,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -16.778326,
        "energy": 13.572954,
        "activity_lines": [
          25.372597,
          25.066892,
          25.007283,
          25.56467
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 25.5,
        "volume": 46204,
        "typical_volume": 228712.95,
        "trend": 26.343512,
        "fair_value": 41.78153,
        "relative_strength": -36.927153,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -14.17487,
        "energy": 11.931231,
        "activity_lines": [
          25.441209,
          25.168488,
          25.024319,
          25.502153
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-14",
        "close": 24.65,
        "volume": 55033,
        "typical_volume": 222954.6,
        "trend": 26.191321,
        "fair_value": 41.473041,
        "relative_strength": -40.041881,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -22.490048,
        "energy": 12.701024,
        "activity_lines": [
          25.199693,
          25.08684,
          24.970627,
          25.392894
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}