{ "ticker": { "uuid": "fad161c2-7f43-4bd2-86c4-2863ada6ea2d", "symbol": "002138", "name": "Shenzhen Sunlord Electronics Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 14.835, "architecture_energy": 29.432, "architecture_maturity": 70.995, "architecture_confidence": 73.429, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 45.89, "rotation_up": 15.59, "upward_expansion": 48.24, "deceleration": 94.0, "rotation_down": 50.37, "downward_expansion": 30.24 }, "activity_lines": [ 45.680667, 51.306365, 49.811603, 46.755653 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 49.790001, "trend_reference": 43.297985, "distance_from_trend": 0.149938, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 30.680403, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.62286, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 23.667983, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.294267, "excess_performance": 0.286867, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.149938, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.179457, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.62286, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.307382, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.23668, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.318391, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.294267, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.468244, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 232614736, "relative_activity": 1.488901, "balance": 1.468244, "dry_up": 1.546309, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.164738, "annualized_volatility": 0.752885, "from_high_reference": -0.31077, "from_low_reference": 0.810228 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 43.297985, "fair_value_reference": 30.680403, "structural_low": 32.009998, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.016686, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": -0.041442, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.093801, "worst_return": -0.188622, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.004785, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.017681, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.114781, "worst_return": -0.125366, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.071691, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.023402, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.567709, "worst_return": -0.25951, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, 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42.554655, "fair_value": 30.393068, "relative_strength": 9.871647, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 17.604812, "energy": 26.200619, "activity_lines": [ 49.378668, 54.419092, 49.586191, 46.288514 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 42.799999, "volume": 246068529, "typical_volume": 149894015.05, "trend": 42.794686, "fair_value": 30.514392, "relative_strength": 12.765799, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 9.226162, "energy": 30.04139, "activity_lines": [ 45.497334, 52.222728, 49.378954, 46.304343 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 49.790001, "volume": 232614736, "typical_volume": 156232556.0, "trend": 43.297985, "fair_value": 30.680403, "relative_strength": 23.667983, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 14.83532, "energy": 29.432009, "activity_lines": [ 45.680667, 51.306365, 49.811603, 46.755653 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }