{ "ticker": { "uuid": "fae4a05d-6bb3-44d9-94b5-0143b7bd98de", "symbol": "300101", "name": "Chengdu CORPRO Technology Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -64.192, "architecture_energy": 70.042, "architecture_maturity": 56.847, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 11.38, "rotation_up": 22.79, "upward_expansion": 14.77, "deceleration": 44.79, "rotation_down": 58.24, "downward_expansion": 85.77 }, "activity_lines": [ 14.622667, 15.081636, 16.538333, 18.165935 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 15.31, "trend_reference": 20.905, "distance_from_trend": -0.267639, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 19.691176, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.222494, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -34.017428, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.493884, "excess_performance": -0.501284, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.267639, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.115332, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.222494, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.297086, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.340174, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.098528, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.493884, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.222684, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 51208449, "relative_activity": 0.86995, "balance": 0.222684, "dry_up": 0.880621, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.101643, "annualized_volatility": 0.48363, "from_high_reference": -0.573538, "from_low_reference": 0.1546 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 20.905, "fair_value_reference": 19.691176, "structural_low": 13.26, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 24, "median_return": -0.029083, "positive_rate": 0.458333, "directional_follow_through": 0.541667, "median_excess_return": 0.008546, "regime_survival": 0.833333, "best_return": 0.454399, "worst_return": -0.159398, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.103201, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": 0.054197, "regime_survival": 0.555556, "best_return": 0.575627, "worst_return": -0.386291, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.278093, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.109344, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.406563, "worst_return": 0.008737, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"fair_value": 19.806098, "relative_strength": -38.985861, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -81.419488, "energy": 68.453244, "activity_lines": [ 15.455333, 16.066727, 17.729571, 19.574258 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 13.52, "volume": 50372209, "typical_volume": 63260709.55, "trend": 21.712333, "fair_value": 19.761552, "relative_strength": -40.658346, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -80.301158, "energy": 68.831164, "activity_lines": [ 14.745333, 15.462182, 17.196952, 19.023656 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 14.45, "volume": 44319137, "typical_volume": 60348044.3, "trend": 21.342333, "fair_value": 19.72546, "relative_strength": -35.049808, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.737283, "energy": 65.861232, "activity_lines": [ 14.523333, 15.15, 16.80681, 18.555118 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 15.31, "volume": 51208449, "typical_volume": 58863688.75, "trend": 20.905, "fair_value": 19.691176, "relative_strength": -34.017428, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.19166, "energy": 70.041903, "activity_lines": [ 14.622667, 15.081636, 16.538333, 18.165935 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }