{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "fae5978c-d4a4-4d54-a352-a092c4ac6bbe",
    "symbol": "TRAN-B",
    "name": "Transferator AB (publ)",
    "exchange": "STO",
    "country": "SE",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^OMX",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch",
    "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch",
    "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 68.952,
    "architecture_energy": 79.089,
    "architecture_maturity": 28.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 82.489,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 19.12,
        "rotation_up": 81.21,
        "upward_expansion": 96.1,
        "deceleration": 39.09,
        "rotation_down": 8.56,
        "downward_expansion": 18.1
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        1.479,
        1.356636,
        1.221871,
        1.17463
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 1.495,
    "trend_reference": 1.124767,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.329165,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 1.994551,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.250458,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 10.956942,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.37156,
    "excess_performance": 0.310065,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.329165,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.033951,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.250458,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.246011,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.109569,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.438483,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.37156,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.071219,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 24254,
      "relative_activity": 0.884134,
      "balance": 3.071219,
      "dry_up": 1.577554,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.132853,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.622414,
      "from_high_reference": -0.110119,
      "from_low_reference": 0.818735
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 1.124767,
      "fair_value_reference": 1.994551,
      "structural_low": 0.912,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 22,
        "median_return": -0.022546,
        "positive_rate": 0.454545,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.454545,
        "median_excess_return": -0.010119,
        "regime_survival": 0.681818,
        "best_return": 0.5625,
        "worst_return": -0.42095,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": 0.091954,
        "positive_rate": 0.7,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.7,
        "median_excess_return": 0.137139,
        "regime_survival": 0.6,
        "best_return": 0.584033,
        "worst_return": -0.5,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.019608,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.026001,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.625,
        "worst_return": -0.448276,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.233871,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": -0.113,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.950929,
        "worst_return": -0.568966,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "end": "2024-01-26",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "color": "blue",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-08-23",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -51.17255,
        "energy": 34.183382,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.0292,
          1.059327,
          1.067443,
          1.088017
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 1.09,
        "volume": 1641,
        "typical_volume": 144133.0,
        "trend": 1.127167,
        "fair_value": 2.067434,
        "relative_strength": -32.020581,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -44.17841,
        "energy": 28.439438,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.042467,
          1.061673,
          1.069562,
          1.085092
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "volume": 20819,
        "typical_volume": 143805.85,
        "trend": 1.116667,
        "fair_value": 2.065415,
        "relative_strength": -32.891378,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
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        "energy": 22.245174,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.041067,
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          1.079469
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 1.045,
        "volume": 11391,
        "typical_volume": 144015.05,
        "trend": 1.105667,
        "fair_value": 2.057534,
        "relative_strength": -30.134213,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -45.189906,
        "energy": 20.159253,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.046333,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 0.96,
        "volume": 31768,
        "typical_volume": 143536.15,
        "trend": 1.095,
        "fair_value": 2.043834,
        "relative_strength": -36.583672,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -55.319591,
        "energy": 25.339672,
        "activity_lines": [
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          1.065447
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "volume": 73033,
        "typical_volume": 146809.35,
        "trend": 1.087833,
        "fair_value": 2.036153,
        "relative_strength": -28.368263,
        "stage": 4,
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        "gate": "down",
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        "energy": 21.025739,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.029667,
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          1.063189
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 0.986,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 143531.15,
        "trend": 1.080533,
        "fair_value": 2.033455,
        "relative_strength": -31.57476,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -49.885079,
        "energy": 26.607904,
        "activity_lines": [
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          1.056619
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 1.02,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 138881.35,
        "trend": 1.072867,
        "fair_value": 2.025338,
        "relative_strength": -27.640803,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
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        "energy": 29.256328,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "volume": 4565,
        "typical_volume": 30356.9,
        "trend": 1.066867,
        "fair_value": 2.017412,
        "relative_strength": -23.151794,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -26.350155,
        "energy": 10.636615,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.0362,
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          1.053497
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 0.956,
        "volume": 234,
        "typical_volume": 28501.55,
        "trend": 1.058733,
        "fair_value": 2.009675,
        "relative_strength": -30.304736,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -54.075148,
        "energy": 26.558399,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.014133,
          1.018673,
          1.03579,
          1.046344
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 1.25,
        "volume": 10797,
        "typical_volume": 27907.6,
        "trend": 1.061567,
        "fair_value": 2.003596,
        "relative_strength": -10.242689,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 27.326512,
        "energy": 18.409547,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.090333,
          1.059727,
          1.05461,
          1.058684
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 1.27,
        "volume": 48843,
        "typical_volume": 29037.5,
        "trend": 1.064733,
        "fair_value": 1.9999,
        "relative_strength": -5.507701,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.952203,
        "energy": 51.282418,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.160533,
          1.099873,
          1.07431,
          1.072131
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 1.455,
        "volume": 105088,
        "typical_volume": 32631.1,
        "trend": 1.081833,
        "fair_value": 1.999701,
        "relative_strength": 10.496643,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 80.378876,
        "energy": 74.902311,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.273467,
          1.170382,
          1.110867,
          1.09731
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 1.45,
        "volume": 30631,
        "typical_volume": 32510.25,
        "trend": 1.097433,
        "fair_value": 1.997159,
        "relative_strength": 9.362386,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 77.810938,
        "energy": 82.63962,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.355733,
          1.232436,
          1.145352,
          1.121062
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 1.545,
        "volume": 13132,
        "typical_volume": 29198.9,
        "trend": 1.112267,
        "fair_value": 1.995564,
        "relative_strength": 16.029581,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 77.665268,
        "energy": 84.249616,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.445333,
          1.3044,
          1.186933,
          1.149938
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 1.495,
        "volume": 24254,
        "typical_volume": 27432.5,
        "trend": 1.124767,
        "fair_value": 1.994551,
        "relative_strength": 10.956942,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.951678,
        "energy": 79.089183,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.479,
          1.356636,
          1.221871,
          1.17463
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}