{ "ticker": { "uuid": "fae95060-c8ec-449b-87bc-944822d63441", "symbol": "601333", "name": "Guangshen Railway Company Limited", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 51.891, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -24.565, "architecture_energy": 18.113, "architecture_maturity": 62.637, "architecture_confidence": 52.057, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 52.36, "rotation_up": 34.72, "upward_expansion": 18.85, "deceleration": 43.46, "rotation_down": 22.1, "downward_expansion": 52.85 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.992, 2.960778, 2.968256, 2.994306 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 2.96, "trend_reference": 3.025961, "distance_from_trend": -0.021798, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 3.033995, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.024389, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -3.365888, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.054313, "excess_performance": -0.011109, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.021798, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.011651, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.024389, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.024779, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.033659, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.051432, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.054313, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.208195, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 326917721, "relative_activity": 1.27452, "balance": 1.208195, "dry_up": 1.363228, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.040721, "annualized_volatility": 0.170996, "from_high_reference": -0.166197, "from_low_reference": 0.053381 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.025961, "fair_value_reference": 3.033995, "structural_low": 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"downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.748232, "energy": 35.161613, "activity_lines": [ 2.920564, 2.927227, 2.967906, 2.999395 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 2.97, "volume": 383054925, "typical_volume": 251827881.9, "trend": 3.028295, "fair_value": 3.037232, "relative_strength": -0.065365, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -36.317172, "energy": 18.593783, "activity_lines": [ 2.942667, 2.933266, 2.964245, 2.995398 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3.08, "volume": 364351798, "typical_volume": 253543824.8, "trend": 3.028628, "fair_value": 3.035937, "relative_strength": 3.210955, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -8.883449, "energy": 13.199028, "activity_lines": [ 2.996, 2.959232, 2.971775, 2.998733 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.96, "volume": 326917721, "typical_volume": 256502613.75, "trend": 3.025961, "fair_value": 3.033995, "relative_strength": -3.365888, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -24.564742, "energy": 18.11281, "activity_lines": [ 2.992, 2.960778, 2.968256, 2.994306 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }