{ "ticker": { "uuid": "faedb98c-9146-4de6-bcc1-42532f422eca", "symbol": "300446", "name": "Aerospace Intelligent Manufacturing Technology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -66.53, "architecture_energy": 86.185, "architecture_maturity": 46.0, "architecture_confidence": 88.569, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 14.66, "rotation_up": 9.54, "upward_expansion": 21.45, "deceleration": 37.24, "rotation_down": 76.28, "downward_expansion": 94.79 }, "activity_lines": [ 13.728, 14.74425, 15.951017, 17.274472 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 13.96, "trend_reference": 19.39642, "distance_from_trend": -0.28028, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 16.618263, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.15996, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -30.967206, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.404691, "excess_performance": -0.412091, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.28028, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.105826, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.15996, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.358311, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.309672, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.118249, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.404691, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.414679, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 37539497, "relative_activity": 0.821484, "balance": 0.414679, "dry_up": 0.941409, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.101716, "annualized_volatility": 0.459693, "from_high_reference": -0.56375, "from_low_reference": 0.092332 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 19.39642, "fair_value_reference": 16.618263, "structural_low": 12.78, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": 0.046896, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.006261, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.315356, "worst_return": -0.160048, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.094163, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.047818, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.34676, "worst_return": -0.000595, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.371278, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.219516, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.50654, "worst_return": 0.197168, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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20.173753, "fair_value": 16.608171, "relative_strength": -34.952398, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -88.057418, "energy": 71.987474, "activity_lines": [ 14.684, 15.433013, 16.682422, 18.07315 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 13.61, "volume": 35900052, "typical_volume": 47188655.3, "trend": 19.775753, "fair_value": 16.61341, "relative_strength": -29.638271, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.177756, "energy": 85.448332, "activity_lines": [ 14.020667, 15.021028, 16.280077, 17.649682 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 13.96, "volume": 37539497, "typical_volume": 45697183.35, "trend": 19.39642, "fair_value": 16.618263, "relative_strength": -30.967206, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.530425, "energy": 86.184792, "activity_lines": [ 13.728, 14.74425, 15.951017, 17.274472 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }