{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "faee5e43-414f-4506-9a5e-6f40557357ec",
    "symbol": "GRAMMY",
    "name": "GMM Grammy Public Company Limited",
    "exchange": "SET",
    "country": "TH",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^SET.BK",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing",
    "transition": "stage_1_building",
    "transition_label": "Base still building",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_up",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up",
    "architecture_modifier": "Emerging rotation",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -12.977,
    "architecture_energy": 21.066,
    "architecture_maturity": 36.201,
    "architecture_confidence": 55.355,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 45.98,
        "rotation_up": 42.47,
        "upward_expansion": 22.65,
        "deceleration": 41.33,
        "rotation_down": 23.23,
        "downward_expansion": 58.98
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        3.32,
        3.157818,
        3.165905,
        3.309677
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 3.44,
    "trend_reference": 3.537333,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.027516,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 5.775321,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.404362,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -25.974906,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.180952,
    "excess_performance": -0.373277,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.027516,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.111967,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.404362,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.042339,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.259749,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.07027,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.180952,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.497661,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 71400,
      "relative_activity": 0.752252,
      "balance": 0.497661,
      "dry_up": 1.616973,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.086315,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.418523,
      "from_high_reference": -0.312,
      "from_low_reference": 0.354331
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 3.537333,
      "fair_value_reference": 5.775321,
      "structural_low": 2.54,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.09414,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.062916,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": -0.020979,
        "worst_return": -0.130719,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.222222,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.145163,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.097902,
        "worst_return": -0.24,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.287582,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.279381,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.146853,
        "worst_return": -0.375,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.298791,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.221276,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.287582,
        "worst_return": -0.31,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2023-08-11",
        "end": "2023-09-15",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.075,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2023-09-22",
        "end": "2023-10-20",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.163043,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2023-10-27",
        "end": "2024-06-07",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.153333,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-06-14",
        "end": "2024-06-21",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.007752,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-06-28",
        "end": "2024-07-12",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.013986,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-07-19",
        "end": "2024-08-09",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.014286,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-08-16",
        "end": "2024-08-30",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.028571,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-09-06",
        "end": "2024-12-06",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.102041,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-12-13",
        "end": "2025-01-03",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.030864,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-01-10",
        "end": "2025-01-24",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.018405,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-01-31",
        "end": "2025-01-31",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-02-07",
        "end": "2025-02-28",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.242647,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-03-07",
        "end": "2026-07-24",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.404,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-07-31",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.089947,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
      {
        "date": "2023-08-18",
        "close": 9.4,
        "volume": 64100,
        "typical_volume": 156820.0,
        "trend": 9.398333,
        "fair_value": 11.348718,
        "relative_strength": -1.32019,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -9.540975,
        "energy": 25.384252,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-08-25",
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        "typical_volume": 159040.0,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-09-01",
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        "typical_volume": 161190.0,
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        "gate": "mixed",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-09-08",
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        "typical_volume": 160375.0,
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        "direction": 17.164563,
        "energy": 22.64863,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-09-15",
        "close": 9.25,
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        "typical_volume": 161205.0,
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        "relative_strength": -3.331009,
        "stage": 4,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-09-22",
        "close": 9.2,
        "volume": 12400,
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        "relative_strength": -2.302981,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 10.956744,
        "energy": 12.183581,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-09-29",
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      },
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        "date": "2023-10-06",
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      },
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      },
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        "date": "2024-01-12",
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        "date": "2024-01-19",
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        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
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        "activity_lines": [
          3.608,
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          3.894286,
          4.029032
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 3.5,
        "volume": 9000,
        "typical_volume": 40820.0,
        "trend": 4.165333,
        "fair_value": 6.290192,
        "relative_strength": -32.917412,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 43810.0,
        "trend": 4.130667,
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        "relative_strength": -33.001881,
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        "gate": "down",
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        "energy": 75.41485,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "volume": 773900,
        "typical_volume": 80575.0,
        "trend": 4.084,
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        "relative_strength": -39.09854,
        "stage": 4,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 83830.0,
        "trend": 4.035333,
        "fair_value": 6.17609,
        "relative_strength": -39.976249,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "volume": 23200,
        "typical_volume": 84590.0,
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        "relative_strength": -40.300793,
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "relative_strength": -41.530164,
        "stage": 4,
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "trend": 3.884,
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        "gate": "down",
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        "energy": 81.692915,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "typical_volume": 74975.0,
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        "fair_value": 5.985577,
        "relative_strength": -38.042372,
        "stage": 4,
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        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -69.404201,
        "energy": 71.888823,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.997333,
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          3.308667,
          3.514882
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 2.92,
        "volume": 12500,
        "typical_volume": 74345.0,
        "trend": 3.733333,
        "fair_value": 5.950769,
        "relative_strength": -40.954136,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -72.02795,
        "energy": 64.606044,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.965333,
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          3.459183
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 2.82,
        "volume": 134000,
        "typical_volume": 76880.0,
        "trend": 3.679333,
        "fair_value": 5.916923,
        "relative_strength": -42.400563,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -76.248198,
        "energy": 65.026662,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.912,
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          3.189048,
          3.400258
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 2.86,
        "volume": 173200,
        "typical_volume": 81855.0,
        "trend": 3.628,
        "fair_value": 5.884295,
        "relative_strength": -41.372966,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -69.065524,
        "energy": 60.715834,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.885333,
          2.941818,
          3.137619,
          3.347398
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 2.98,
        "volume": 174500,
        "typical_volume": 87320.0,
        "trend": 3.587333,
        "fair_value": 5.851474,
        "relative_strength": -38.26921,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -64.084841,
        "energy": 55.795264,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.908,
          2.939636,
          3.103619,
          3.305591
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 3.78,
        "volume": 194800,
        "typical_volume": 94140.0,
        "trend": 3.569333,
        "fair_value": 5.817372,
        "relative_strength": -20.010705,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -9.787519,
        "energy": 12.286543,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.197333,
          3.085818,
          3.150952,
          3.318022
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 3.44,
        "volume": 71400,
        "typical_volume": 94915.0,
        "trend": 3.537333,
        "fair_value": 5.775321,
        "relative_strength": -25.974906,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -12.976564,
        "energy": 21.066265,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.32,
          3.157818,
          3.165905,
          3.309677
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}