{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "faee9780-8ffe-4e86-8baa-a4614327889c",
    "symbol": "QDT",
    "name": "Quadient S.A.",
    "exchange": "PAR",
    "country": "FR",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FCHI",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch",
    "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch",
    "confidence": 68.278,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": 14.174,
    "architecture_energy": 24.261,
    "architecture_maturity": 19.242,
    "architecture_confidence": 46.011,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 50.29,
        "rotation_up": 44.8,
        "upward_expansion": 33.9,
        "deceleration": 45.22,
        "rotation_down": 22.4,
        "downward_expansion": 49.23
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        12.493222,
        12.153762,
        12.0454,
        12.172712
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 13.2,
    "trend_reference": 12.735591,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.036465,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 15.77634,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.163304,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -9.475606,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.128137,
    "excess_performance": -0.181449,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.036465,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.060889,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.163304,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.114446,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.094756,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.110101,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.128137,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.856472,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 301600,
      "relative_activity": 1.066161,
      "balance": 0.856472,
      "dry_up": 0.937758,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.049626,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.332691,
      "from_high_reference": -0.213349,
      "from_low_reference": 0.266795
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 12.735591,
      "fair_value_reference": 15.77634,
      "structural_low": 10.42,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 15,
        "median_return": -0.009913,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": -0.008726,
        "regime_survival": 0.466667,
        "best_return": 0.148571,
        "worst_return": -0.157988,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": -0.050187,
        "positive_rate": 0.375,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.375,
        "median_excess_return": -0.100118,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.107905,
        "worst_return": -0.299616,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.010281,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": 0.040972,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.229611,
        "worst_return": -0.163873,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.016718,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.064792,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.037951,
        "worst_return": -0.004515,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-08-23",
        "end": "2024-12-13",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.056948,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-12-20",
        "end": "2025-01-24",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.034066,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-01-31",
        "end": "2025-03-21",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.111842,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-03-28",
        "end": "2025-04-18",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.002522,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-25",
        "end": "2025-08-08",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.038137,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-08-15",
        "end": "2025-08-22",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.035936,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-08-29",
        "end": "2025-09-19",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.003755,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-09-26",
        "end": "2026-01-02",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.158147,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-01-09",
        "end": "2026-01-16",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.049936,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-01-23",
        "end": "2026-02-13",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.125,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-02-20",
        "end": "2026-02-27",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.018072,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-03-06",
        "end": "2026-03-13",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.042584,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-03-20",
        "end": "2026-07-31",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.010875,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-08-07",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
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        "typical_volume": 149245.6,
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      },
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        "typical_volume": 237052.65,
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        "relative_strength": -23.633112,
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 237189.25,
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        "stage": 4,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 318992.6,
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "relative_strength": -19.761451,
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        "energy": 21.684701,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "volume": 30800,
        "typical_volume": 291304.6,
        "trend": 13.160107,
        "fair_value": 15.950509,
        "relative_strength": -22.983164,
        "stage": 4,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 276600.75,
        "trend": 13.050953,
        "fair_value": 15.915367,
        "relative_strength": -21.094326,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -67.417665,
        "energy": 64.609291,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 11.342105,
        "volume": 150157,
        "typical_volume": 269040.6,
        "trend": 12.948357,
        "fair_value": 15.875896,
        "relative_strength": -20.167852,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -64.972605,
        "energy": 72.766649,
        "activity_lines": [
          11.43078,
          11.755549,
          11.810487,
          12.20888
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 12.079342,
        "volume": 304336,
        "typical_volume": 273782.15,
        "trend": 12.873001,
        "fair_value": 15.837144,
        "relative_strength": -14.795658,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -57.121321,
        "energy": 50.94372,
        "activity_lines": [
          11.599181,
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          11.825135,
          12.152815
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 12.797675,
        "volume": 305015,
        "typical_volume": 278142.3,
        "trend": 12.816257,
        "fair_value": 15.807046,
        "relative_strength": -10.665372,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -4.361129,
        "energy": 7.459178,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.01507,
          11.934993,
          11.915532,
          12.147955
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 13.2,
        "volume": 301600,
        "typical_volume": 282884.15,
        "trend": 12.735591,
        "fair_value": 15.77634,
        "relative_strength": -9.475606,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": 14.173722,
        "energy": 24.261208,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.493222,
          12.153762,
          12.0454,
          12.172712
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}