{ "ticker": { "uuid": "faf0e219-3359-4778-b1db-c15e18558f40", "symbol": "WDC", "name": "Western Digital Corporation", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 17.643, "architecture_energy": 16.255, "architecture_maturity": 63.309, "architecture_confidence": 94.02, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 56.78, "rotation_up": 17.02, "upward_expansion": 51.51, "deceleration": 93.95, "rotation_down": 34.6, "downward_expansion": 19.84 }, "activity_lines": [ 496.485667, 530.146727, 519.442993, 473.34271 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 434.3, "trend_reference": 408.321556, "distance_from_trend": 0.063623, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 129.31617, "distance_from_fair_value": 2.358435, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 34.588317, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.538102, "excess_performance": 0.350649, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.063623, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.447594, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 2.358435, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -2.161893, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.345883, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -1.016056, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.538102, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.207202, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 53454536, "relative_activity": 1.33883, "balance": 1.207202, "dry_up": 1.041815, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.284741, "annualized_volatility": 0.846348, "from_high_reference": -0.457037, "from_low_reference": 4.95372 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 408.321556, "fair_value_reference": 129.31617, "structural_low": 237.930256, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.002153, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.041517, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.014816, "worst_return": -0.068528, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.017433, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.053117, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.153649, "worst_return": -0.008747, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.014102, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.024992, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.242873, "worst_return": -0.012452, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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61.672466, "energy": 54.242613, "activity_lines": [ 592.244, 573.608335, 504.011667, 444.81124 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 477.22, "volume": 40304976, "typical_volume": 40439711.55, "trend": 377.332167, "fair_value": 120.321905, "relative_strength": 66.412964, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 42.192233, "energy": 28.601936, "activity_lines": [ 550.171333, 560.269417, 507.952218, 451.892779 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 519.8, "volume": 28752484, "typical_volume": 39889058.55, "trend": 388.612192, "fair_value": 123.451224, "relative_strength": 78.879734, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 36.09215, "energy": 20.94425, "activity_lines": [ 528.005667, 554.720305, 515.006402, 461.084252 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 544.84, "volume": 43871429, "typical_volume": 40115372.5, "trend": 400.521709, "fair_value": 126.734205, "relative_strength": 81.112013, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 33.49097, "energy": 18.253626, "activity_lines": [ 529.282, 553.034442, 523.137626, 471.163465 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 434.3, "volume": 53454536, "typical_volume": 39926318.9, "trend": 408.321556, "fair_value": 129.31617, "relative_strength": 34.588317, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 17.643393, "energy": 16.255398, "activity_lines": [ 496.485667, 530.146727, 519.442993, 473.34271 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }