{ "ticker": { "uuid": "fb075520-667b-4682-8423-88722001a5cb", "symbol": "MEDP", "name": "Medpace Holdings Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 70.382, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 73.455, "architecture_energy": 79.126, "architecture_maturity": 25.442, "architecture_confidence": 73.289, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The prior uptrend is attempting to re-accelerate.", "body": "Positive Trend survived a recompression and Fast Activity is strengthening again. Promotion requires renewed confirmation across the completed evidence set." }, "scores": { "balance": 14.58, "rotation_up": 80.5, "upward_expansion": 95.98, "deceleration": 39.81, "rotation_down": 9.6, "downward_expansion": 17.98 }, "activity_lines": [ 578.641333, 555.836909, 513.867143, 499.372903 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 590.67, "trend_reference": 495.101667, "distance_from_trend": 0.193028, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 395.696763, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.492734, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 0.139034, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.089717, "excess_performance": -0.097737, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.193028, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.030033, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.492734, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.355186, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.00139, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.248227, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.089717, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.528203, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1008762, "relative_activity": 0.580645, "balance": 1.528203, "dry_up": 1.066313, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.078317, "annualized_volatility": 0.590521, "from_high_reference": -0.128677, "from_low_reference": 0.583566 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 495.101667, "fair_value_reference": 395.696763, "structural_low": 373.0, "invalidation": "A decisive 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8.068195, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 58.38763, "energy": 77.2274, "activity_lines": [ 560.985333, 528.817455, 494.278571, 487.921871 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 577.11, "volume": 2320283, "typical_volume": 1774133.4, "trend": 495.246, "fair_value": 393.62125, "relative_strength": 2.964421, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 44.202312, "energy": 69.54823, "activity_lines": [ 569.221333, 542.406364, 503.72881, 493.216516 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 590.67, "volume": 1008762, "typical_volume": 1737313.5, "trend": 495.101667, "fair_value": 395.696763, "relative_strength": 0.139034, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.455096, "energy": 79.126218, "activity_lines": [ 578.641333, 555.836909, 513.867143, 499.372903 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }