{ "ticker": { "uuid": "fb0db64c-9dfd-4439-b067-85138891593c", "symbol": "AOCT", "name": "Innovator Equity Defined Protection ETF - 2 Yr to October 2026", "exchange": "CBOE", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. 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Fan expansion measures the energy of the move; contraction inside this regime warns that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 0.0, "rotation_up": 68.35, "upward_expansion": 99.7, "deceleration": 39.11, "rotation_down": 27.53, "downward_expansion": 21.7 }, "activity_lines": { "5": 27.430433, "10": 27.381831, "20": 27.260048, "30": 27.114072 }, "activity_slopes": { "5": 1.405901, "10": 1.415506, "20": 2.016666, "30": 1.73461 }, "bullish_order": 1.0, "bearish_order": 0.0, "fan_width_atr": 3.815831, "fan_width_change_4": 0.940398, "fan_width_percentile": 1.0, "fast_slow_gap_atr": 2.642366, "fast_slow_gap_change_4": -0.464934, "price_acceptance": 1.0, "current_fan_distance_atr": 0.710027, "accepted_above": 1.0, "accepted_below": 0.0, "crossing_density": 0.0 }, "interpretation": { "headline": "The advance is losing directional efficiency near the upper range.", "body": "Stage 3 is a distribution diagnosis only when a flatter trend, weakening relative strength and supply evidence cluster. 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"upward_expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 71.635891, "architecture_energy": 89.015548, "activity_5": 27.39296, "activity_10": 27.349042, "activity_20": 27.217636, "activity_30": 27.076848 }, { "week": "2026-07-31", "open": 27.4, "high": 27.4893, "low": 27.39, "close": 27.4893, "volume": 7895, "sma_30": 26.943303, "fair_value_history": 25.935255, "mansfield_rs": -5.296598, "stage": 3, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 85.520698, "architecture_energy": 93.520463, "activity_5": 27.430433, "activity_10": 27.381831, "activity_20": 27.260048, "activity_30": 27.114072 } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed weekly OHLCV", "trend": "30-week simple moving average; slope compares the current value with ten completed weeks earlier", "fair_value": "current horizontal Fair Value is the arithmetic mean of up to 156 completed weekly closes; Stage 1 repair measures whether price is below and rising toward that anchor", "relative_strength": "Mansfield-style relative performance line: ticker/SPY divided by its trailing 52-week mean, minus one", "classification": "Trend Architecture uses the Activity Line position as a direction gate, then classifies ordering, four-week slopes, ATR-normalized fan width, fast/slow rotation and six-week price acceptance. Ordinary regime changes require two completed observations; a fully aligned reversal beyond the fan can change immediately.", "architecture_boundary": "The green/red/orange Trend gate is derived from the same Activity Lines and is therefore not counted as an independent vote. Relative strength and volume alter confirmation, while point-in-time Fair Value supplies context rather than determining the regime.", "admissibility": "Stage 2 cannot persist when price is more than 5% below the 30-week average or 8% below current Fair Value, the ten-week average slope is below -2%, Mansfield RS is below -8, or the 26-week return is below -15%. Stage 4 requires price no more than 5% above the average, RS no higher than +8, and at least one deterioration test: slope at or below +1.5%, 13-week return at or below -10%, or 26-week return at or below -12%. 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