{ "ticker": { "uuid": "fb257796-46ad-49d8-9e42-fa236805dc93", "symbol": "300943", "name": "Zhejiang Chunhui Intelligent Control Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 69.742, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -22.524, "architecture_energy": 38.681, "architecture_maturity": 23.385, "architecture_confidence": 43.635, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 34.09, "rotation_up": 16.71, "upward_expansion": 19.81, "deceleration": 66.65, "rotation_down": 66.7, "downward_expansion": 42.48 }, "activity_lines": [ 26.185334, 31.605455, 33.634859, 33.289651 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 28.07, "trend_reference": 32.351658, "distance_from_trend": -0.132347, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 17.278426, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.624569, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 4.845735, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.019996, "excess_performance": 0.012597, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.132347, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.179104, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.624569, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.463318, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.048457, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.233999, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.019996, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.948975, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 66923395, "relative_activity": 1.334977, "balance": 0.948975, "dry_up": 1.357362, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.264324, "annualized_volatility": 1.101636, "from_high_reference": -0.460088, "from_low_reference": 0.867513 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 32.351658, "fair_value_reference": 17.278426, "structural_low": 19.360001, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.027333, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.006518, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.027333, "worst_return": -0.027333, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.077333, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.009616, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.077333, "worst_return": -0.077333, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.252667, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.171339, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.252667, "worst_return": -0.252667, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 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"2025-05-02", "end": "2025-05-09", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.067285, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-05-16", "end": "2025-06-13", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.149363, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-06-20", "end": "2025-09-19", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.146795, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-09-26", "end": "2025-10-24", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.087871, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-10-31", "end": "2025-12-05", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.0561, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-12-12", "end": "2025-12-19", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.021824, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-12-26", "end": "2026-03-27", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.343104, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-04-03", "end": "2026-05-15", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.487356, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-05-22", "end": "2026-07-31", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.451209, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-08-07", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-07-28", "close": 14.913206, "volume": 11214661, "typical_volume": 38911451.75, "trend": 14.334668, "fair_value": 15.676992, "relative_strength": 6.873232, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", 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"2026-07-24", "close": 23.01, "volume": 78869327, "typical_volume": 51321755.25, "trend": 32.066457, "fair_value": 17.154752, "relative_strength": -9.957151, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": -2.199201, "energy": 14.764863, "activity_lines": [ 32.396, 35.720342, 35.265036, 34.203383 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 21.940001, "volume": 71833562, "typical_volume": 50396662.6, "trend": 32.106392, "fair_value": 17.193084, "relative_strength": -13.11431, "stage": 4, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -35.927442, "energy": 40.777287, "activity_lines": [ 27.499334, 32.941637, 34.131041, 33.550063 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 28.07, "volume": 66923395, "typical_volume": 50130761.2, "trend": 32.351658, "fair_value": 17.278426, "relative_strength": 4.845735, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -22.524261, "energy": 38.680644, "activity_lines": [ 26.185334, 31.605455, 33.634859, 33.289651 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }