{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "fb2e7a15-4380-4e7f-8481-97998d23b048",
    "symbol": "ST",
    "name": "Sensata Technologies Holding NV",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 24.819,
    "architecture_energy": 13.943,
    "architecture_maturity": 55.869,
    "architecture_confidence": 95.793,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 58.01,
        "rotation_up": 25.28,
        "upward_expansion": 48.0,
        "deceleration": 84.58,
        "rotation_down": 24.0,
        "downward_expansion": 23.67
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        46.070667,
        46.416182,
        46.427902,
        44.371554
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 46.67,
    "trend_reference": 41.582791,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.122339,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 33.958406,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.374328,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 11.765286,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.304169,
    "excess_performance": 0.178545,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.122339,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.130836,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.374328,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.034442,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.117653,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.102074,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.304169,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.014742,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 6395919,
      "relative_activity": 0.660786,
      "balance": 3.014742,
      "dry_up": 0.907751,
      "accumulation_observations": 6,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.09013,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.332666,
      "from_high_reference": -0.133977,
      "from_low_reference": 0.666793
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 41.582791,
      "fair_value_reference": 33.958406,
      "structural_low": 30.992823,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": 0.011349,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.02064,
        "regime_survival": 0.555556,
        "best_return": 0.047084,
        "worst_return": -0.130272,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.042093,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": -0.086353,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.12792,
        "worst_return": -0.211695,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.218169,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": -0.255623,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.122475,
        "worst_return": -0.262577,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.186134,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.330064,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.078215,
        "worst_return": -0.227419,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2023-08-11",
        "end": "2024-01-05",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.072986,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-01-12",
        "end": "2024-05-03",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.173924,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-05-10",
        "end": "2024-06-21",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.102267,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-09-13",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.069922,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-09-20",
        "end": "2024-10-04",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.01273,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-10-11",
        "end": "2025-05-30",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.266374,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-06-06",
        "end": "2025-06-13",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.017018,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2025-07-11",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.132296,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-09-26",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.038714,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "end": "2025-12-12",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "end": "2026-03-27",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.029866,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
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      {
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        "return": 0.03596,
        "active": true
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        "date": "2026-04-10",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 9745412.1,
        "trend": 40.413697,
        "fair_value": 33.821539,
        "relative_strength": 13.805029,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 35.377524,
        "energy": 25.545845,
        "activity_lines": [
          45.792,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "volume": 7079038,
        "typical_volume": 9680031.7,
        "trend": 40.824399,
        "fair_value": 33.856074,
        "relative_strength": 15.712304,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 31.575021,
        "energy": 22.96663,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 46.29,
        "volume": 14261402,
        "typical_volume": 9789681.05,
        "trend": 41.211016,
        "fair_value": 33.901028,
        "relative_strength": 15.332211,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 30.196938,
        "energy": 18.082672,
        "activity_lines": [
          45.694667,
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          46.183843,
          44.019362
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 46.67,
        "volume": 6395919,
        "typical_volume": 9679256.65,
        "trend": 41.582791,
        "fair_value": 33.958406,
        "relative_strength": 11.765286,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 24.818517,
        "energy": 13.943419,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}