{ "ticker": { "uuid": "fb30b713-dc83-4fa5-9d7e-6840fa944a04", "symbol": "APM", "name": "Andean Precious Metals Corp.", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -17.808, "architecture_energy": 11.328, "architecture_maturity": 71.215, "architecture_confidence": 63.623, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 53.55, "rotation_up": 28.6, "upward_expansion": 20.15, "deceleration": 43.8, "rotation_down": 26.67, "downward_expansion": 58.81 }, "activity_lines": [ 6.303333, 6.125818, 6.259905, 6.595548 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 7.26, "trend_reference": 7.305667, "distance_from_trend": -0.006251, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 3.363718, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.158326, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -13.564616, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.136742, "excess_performance": -0.257163, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.006251, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.110584, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.158326, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.096606, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.135646, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.030876, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.136742, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.346858, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1745100, "relative_activity": 1.171995, "balance": 1.346858, "dry_up": 1.079668, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.125397, "annualized_volatility": 0.879186, "from_high_reference": -0.421514, "from_low_reference": 0.684455 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 7.305667, "fair_value_reference": 3.363718, "structural_low": 5.3, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": -0.048387, "positive_rate": 0.473684, "directional_follow_through": 0.526316, "median_excess_return": 0.000485, "regime_survival": 0.789474, "best_return": 0.9, "worst_return": -0.30303, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.124214, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.163602, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.546154, "worst_return": -0.333333, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.047101, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.046776, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.207692, "worst_return": -0.453901, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2023-06-09", "end": "2023-12-01", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.112676, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2023-12-08", "end": "2024-03-15", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.161765, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-03-22", "end": "2024-11-22", "tenure": "Extended", "return": 0.488095, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-11-29", "end": "2025-02-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.232558, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-02-14", "end": "2025-10-31", "tenure": "Extended", "return": 3.070513, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-11-07", "end": 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7.089871 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 5.8, "volume": 1586500, "typical_volume": 2012265.0, "trend": 7.796, "fair_value": 3.223205, "relative_strength": -28.215126, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.607601, "energy": 48.672172, "activity_lines": [ 5.931333, 6.057636, 6.391, 6.951742 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 5.86, "volume": 1918500, "typical_volume": 1779900.0, "trend": 7.655333, "fair_value": 3.255769, "relative_strength": -27.547618, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.925117, "energy": 43.281442, "activity_lines": [ 5.921333, 5.982, 6.29981, 6.826839 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 6.15, "volume": 1761300, "typical_volume": 1745320.0, "trend": 7.523667, "fair_value": 3.290705, "relative_strength": -24.319983, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -45.196125, "energy": 31.215467, "activity_lines": [ 6.000667, 5.971636, 6.258333, 6.72972 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 5.57, "volume": 1005600, "typical_volume": 1695125.0, "trend": 7.386, "fair_value": 3.321731, "relative_strength": -31.290246, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.018591, "energy": 40.367123, "activity_lines": [ 5.868, 5.883273, 6.173333, 6.603677 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 7.26, "volume": 1745100, "typical_volume": 1489000.0, "trend": 7.305667, "fair_value": 3.363718, "relative_strength": -13.564616, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -17.808434, "energy": 11.327794, "activity_lines": [ 6.303333, 6.125818, 6.259905, 6.595548 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }