{ "ticker": { "uuid": "fb33afe1-5732-4c2c-aecb-486679a9ebb8", "symbol": "WU", "name": "The Western Union Company", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -91.637, "architecture_energy": 75.473, "architecture_maturity": 86.3, "architecture_confidence": 87.393, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 24.28, "rotation_up": 26.36, "upward_expansion": 12.0, "deceleration": 60.99, "rotation_down": 57.02, "downward_expansion": 78.33 }, "activity_lines": [ 125.666667, 128.197769, 134.735019, 141.413861 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 114.0, "trend_reference": 150.420282, "distance_from_trend": -0.242123, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 197.045557, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.421454, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -27.574242, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.351343, "excess_performance": -0.296676, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.242123, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.066459, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.421454, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.216843, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.275742, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.163628, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.351343, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.232802, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 525, "relative_activity": 3.466491, "balance": 0.232802, "dry_up": 0.866623, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.040573, "annualized_volatility": 0.30774, "from_high_reference": -0.357702, "from_low_reference": 0.0 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 150.420282, "fair_value_reference": 197.045557, 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156.079286, 158.836637 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-05", "close": 135.614507, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 1875.05, "trend": 159.899081, "fair_value": 201.181495, "relative_strength": -17.887616, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -96.450606, "energy": 98.749532, "activity_lines": [ 141.540374, 147.228295, 153.680131, 157.190562 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-12", "close": 126.88139, "volume": 1816, "typical_volume": 1965.85, "trend": 158.644289, "fair_value": 200.699592, "relative_strength": -24.616653, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -97.257434, "energy": 99.01053, "activity_lines": [ 135.529766, 142.866345, 150.62139, 155.060389 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-19", "close": 131.0, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 1965.85, "trend": 157.992106, "fair_value": 200.302303, "relative_strength": -21.29224, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -82.349445, "energy": 93.734372, "activity_lines": [ 133.186609, 139.800845, 148.168621, 153.276886 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 131.5, "volume": 190, "typical_volume": 1945.85, "trend": 157.35659, "fair_value": 199.914546, "relative_strength": -19.893151, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.443647, "energy": 69.943572, "activity_lines": [ 131.747765, 137.298981, 145.957583, 151.567718 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 131.5, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 471.4, "trend": 156.341171, "fair_value": 199.52679, "relative_strength": -19.172846, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.637457, "energy": 68.964771, "activity_lines": [ 131.058486, 135.255632, 143.957249, 149.899551 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 131.5, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 396.05, "trend": 155.325752, "fair_value": 199.139034, "relative_strength": -17.919233, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.15915, "energy": 68.147826, "activity_lines": [ 131.125426, 133.670799, 142.154067, 148.296895 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 131.5, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 125.65, "trend": 154.310333, "fair_value": 198.672183, "relative_strength": -17.618725, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.558007, "energy": 67.035995, "activity_lines": [ 131.466667, 132.544482, 140.485508, 146.75975 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 131.5, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 125.65, "trend": 153.287092, "fair_value": 198.167368, "relative_strength": -16.820807, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.75274, "energy": 65.437584, "activity_lines": [ 131.5, 131.959984, 138.970591, 145.288115 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 131.5, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 125.65, "trend": 152.263851, "fair_value": 197.662552, "relative_strength": -17.055082, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.77087, "energy": 63.431915, "activity_lines": [ 131.5, 131.567572, 137.609317, 143.882496 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 114.0, "volume": 525, "typical_volume": 151.45, "trend": 150.420282, "fair_value": 197.045557, "relative_strength": -27.574242, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -91.637209, "energy": 75.473469, "activity_lines": [ 125.666667, 128.197769, 134.735019, 141.413861 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }