{ "ticker": { "uuid": "fb385380-1fc8-4c09-a1da-9f9f01fe6d45", "symbol": "SRVR", "name": "PACER FDS TR DATA & INFRASTRUCTURE REAL ESTATE ETF", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3c", "phase_label": "Stage 3C \u00b7 Breakdown watch", "transition": "stage_3_to_4_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 3 \u2192 4 watch", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -33.037, "architecture_energy": 38.943, "architecture_maturity": 9.819, "architecture_confidence": 71.062, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 33.38, "rotation_up": 19.81, "upward_expansion": 13.09, "deceleration": 52.66, "rotation_down": 60.83, "downward_expansion": 52.42 }, "activity_lines": [ 31.264667, 31.569455, 32.537776, 32.650482 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 31.79, "trend_reference": 32.529511, "distance_from_trend": -0.022734, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 29.233173, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.087463, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -9.673263, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.03191, "excess_performance": -0.093715, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.022734, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.03571, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.087463, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.12666, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.096733, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.096436, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.03191, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.612183, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 428938, "relative_activity": 1.047608, "balance": 0.612183, "dry_up": 0.819836, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.042719, "annualized_volatility": 0.2236, "from_high_reference": -0.110359, "from_low_reference": 0.145057 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 32.529511, "fair_value_reference": 29.233173, "structural_low": 30.01, "invalidation": "A 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"stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -44.177184, "energy": 65.697293, "activity_lines": [ 31.306667, 32.264339, 32.995315, 32.842176 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 31.47, "volume": 192285, "typical_volume": 416370.6, "trend": 32.377092, "fair_value": 29.174426, "relative_strength": -7.056555, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -27.154344, "energy": 60.325402, "activity_lines": [ 31.193333, 32.002877, 32.848099, 32.790158 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 30.87, "volume": 416406, "typical_volume": 401493.65, "trend": 32.447874, "fair_value": 29.201649, "relative_strength": -9.488235, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -39.704904, "energy": 61.772129, "activity_lines": [ 31.018, 31.67156, 32.646033, 32.692926 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 31.79, "volume": 428938, "typical_volume": 409445.3, "trend": 32.529511, "fair_value": 29.233173, "relative_strength": -9.673263, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -33.036729, "energy": 38.942509, "activity_lines": [ 31.264667, 31.569455, 32.537776, 32.650482 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }