{ "ticker": { "uuid": "fb3c5998-4fd4-48b5-9b44-6d2e4f6a3711", "symbol": "H1RL34", "name": "Hormel Foods Corporation", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Emerging rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 39.851, "architecture_energy": 77.958, "architecture_maturity": 16.285, "architecture_confidence": 55.962, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 25.56, "rotation_up": 73.67, "upward_expansion": 67.17, "deceleration": 23.72, "rotation_down": 16.03, "downward_expansion": 27.84 }, "activity_lines": [ 128.652003, 124.348479, 118.491305, 118.082387 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 128.050003, "trend_reference": 118.723378, "distance_from_trend": 0.078558, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 150.466518, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.14898, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -0.18303, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.002213, "excess_performance": 0.059261, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.078558, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.004438, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.14898, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.139408, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.00183, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.310145, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.002213, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.736287, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 5352, "relative_activity": 8.902196, "balance": 0.736287, "dry_up": 4.223636, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.033185, "annualized_volatility": 0.333147, "from_high_reference": -0.15439, "from_low_reference": 0.285772 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 118.723378, "fair_value_reference": 150.466518, "structural_low": 99.589996, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.009584, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.00995, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.146635, "worst_return": -0.095256, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.01877, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.002552, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.163203, "worst_return": -0.133849, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.004524, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.072794, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.04908, "worst_return": -0.092463, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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"volume": 3305, "typical_volume": 339.15, "trend": 118.389708, "fair_value": 151.094155, "relative_strength": -3.273416, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 40.554617, "energy": 76.731529, "activity_lines": [ 126.124485, 120.662311, 116.018958, 116.838131 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 128.050003, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 339.15, "trend": 118.424323, "fair_value": 150.780336, "relative_strength": -4.180984, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 31.902385, "energy": 75.702438, "activity_lines": [ 127.911941, 122.73494, 117.251205, 117.461375 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 128.050003, "volume": 5352, "typical_volume": 601.2, "trend": 118.723378, "fair_value": 150.466518, "relative_strength": -0.18303, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 39.850792, "energy": 77.957553, "activity_lines": [ 128.652003, 124.348479, 118.491305, 118.082387 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }