{ "ticker": { "uuid": "fb4fd67e-c09c-4d89-9cda-2224dbf2de1a", "symbol": "GTIM", "name": "Good Times Restaurants Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 70.85, "architecture_energy": 46.788, "architecture_maturity": 54.781, "architecture_confidence": 55.956, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 16.21, "rotation_up": 50.78, "upward_expansion": 77.2, "deceleration": 70.01, "rotation_down": 23.56, "downward_expansion": 6.2 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.418667, 1.407636, 1.360071, 1.321763 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 1.47, "trend_reference": 1.275417, "distance_from_trend": 0.152565, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 2.092695, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.297556, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -5.270722, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.204918, "excess_performance": 0.017464, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.152565, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.033912, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.297556, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.140113, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.052707, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.215491, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.204918, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.708006, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 524887, "relative_activity": 3.321405, "balance": 1.708006, "dry_up": 1.291104, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.058012, "annualized_volatility": 0.203963, "from_high_reference": -0.296651, "from_low_reference": 0.336364 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.275417, "fair_value_reference": 2.092695, "structural_low": 1.13, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.054381, "positive_rate": 0.454545, "directional_follow_through": 0.454545, "median_excess_return": -0.020259, "regime_survival": 0.636364, "best_return": 0.137457, "worst_return": -0.156923, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.10903, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.149371, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.018182, "worst_return": -0.18609, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.127113, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.126724, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.010909, "worst_return": -0.240602, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-05-03", "end": "2024-05-10", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.048507, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-05-17", "end": "2024-06-14", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.083636, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-06-21", "end": "2024-08-23", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.127341, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-08-30", "end": "2024-10-04", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.144615, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-10-11", "end": "2024-12-06", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.073427, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2024-12-13", "end": "2025-01-10", "tenure": "Developing", 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2.125836, "relative_strength": -7.807269, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.779657, "energy": 75.467548, "activity_lines": [ 1.417333, 1.376, 1.325679, 1.292124 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.39, "volume": 100567, "typical_volume": 134810.6, "trend": 1.26075, "fair_value": 2.113592, "relative_strength": -6.472012, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.759039, "energy": 65.614828, "activity_lines": [ 1.412, 1.384727, 1.335857, 1.300957 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.38, "volume": 138612, "typical_volume": 137817.85, "trend": 1.26675, "fair_value": 2.102374, "relative_strength": -7.275848, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.713268, "energy": 43.792219, "activity_lines": [ 1.4, 1.388909, 1.344131, 1.308651 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.47, "volume": 524887, "typical_volume": 158031.6, "trend": 1.275417, "fair_value": 2.092695, "relative_strength": -5.270722, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.850461, "energy": 46.788441, "activity_lines": [ 1.418667, 1.407636, 1.360071, 1.321763 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }