{ "ticker": { "uuid": "fb51cf71-ac69-455f-901a-640d378d1a3e", "symbol": "001260", "name": "Shandong Kuntai New Material Technology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -63.499, "architecture_energy": 56.771, "architecture_maturity": 56.166, "architecture_confidence": 94.516, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.4, "rotation_up": 21.97, "upward_expansion": 9.56, "deceleration": 60.51, "rotation_down": 58.83, "downward_expansion": 82.89 }, "activity_lines": [ 15.838, 16.109273, 17.566135, 18.610283 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 16.73, "trend_reference": 19.908444, "distance_from_trend": -0.159653, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 18.018918, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.071531, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -18.950123, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.227976, "excess_performance": -0.235376, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.159653, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.057019, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.071531, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.2735, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.189501, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.077111, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.227976, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.217701, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 5624003, "relative_activity": 0.893062, "balance": 0.217701, "dry_up": 1.008997, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.094587, "annualized_volatility": 0.377308, "from_high_reference": -0.357136, "from_low_reference": 0.228341 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 19.908444, "fair_value_reference": 18.018918, "structural_low": 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"modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -78.977199, "energy": 87.228107, "activity_lines": [ 16.178667, 17.031521, 18.594242, 19.48114 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 14.56, "volume": 7903900, "typical_volume": 8781230.2, "trend": 20.151082, "fair_value": 18.089291, "relative_strength": -27.867061, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -83.777688, "energy": 72.843245, "activity_lines": [ 15.570667, 16.404488, 18.111364, 19.109347 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 15.7, "volume": 5231783, "typical_volume": 7783056.4, "trend": 20.014411, "fair_value": 18.043931, "relative_strength": -20.480329, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.632335, "energy": 64.53342, "activity_lines": [ 15.524, 16.114545, 17.771906, 18.822181 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 16.73, "volume": 5624003, "typical_volume": 6297435.45, "trend": 19.908444, "fair_value": 18.018918, "relative_strength": -18.950123, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.499151, "energy": 56.77098, "activity_lines": [ 15.838, 16.109273, 17.566135, 18.610283 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }