{ "ticker": { "uuid": "fb5ef501-73f2-4271-beaf-64217d9f271f", "symbol": "MATRIMONY", "name": "Matrimony.com Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 40.216, "architecture_energy": 34.129, "architecture_maturity": 11.107, "architecture_confidence": 88.17, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 39.08, "rotation_up": 63.46, "upward_expansion": 36.55, "deceleration": 31.99, "rotation_down": 14.75, "downward_expansion": 20.55 }, "activity_lines": [ 445.095172, 430.642281, 425.072481, 426.977777 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 480.799988, "trend_reference": 441.569318, "distance_from_trend": 0.088844, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 543.913548, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.116036, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 2.819651, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.090083, "excess_performance": -0.046374, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.088844, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.067685, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.116036, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.087693, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.028197, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.098161, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.090083, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.359421, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 331984, "relative_activity": 4.799898, "balance": 1.359421, "dry_up": 1.781979, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.061113, "annualized_volatility": 0.398098, "from_high_reference": -0.160908, "from_low_reference": 0.320698 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 441.569318, "fair_value_reference": 543.913548, "structural_low": 364.049988, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 17, "median_return": -0.014227, "positive_rate": 0.352941, "directional_follow_through": 0.352941, "median_excess_return": -0.016225, "regime_survival": 0.647059, "best_return": 0.119133, "worst_return": -0.129514, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.064336, "positive_rate": 0.142857, "directional_follow_through": 0.142857, "median_excess_return": -0.104613, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.016096, "worst_return": -0.224436, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.184052, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.161823, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.424026, 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"Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -25.719126, "energy": 19.584045, "activity_lines": [ 422.626025, 415.090447, 418.159966, 425.575615 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 431.932739, "volume": 25207, "typical_volume": 64086.4, "trend": 443.525985, "fair_value": 544.839127, "relative_strength": -7.093589, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -15.189856, "energy": 16.288934, "activity_lines": [ 426.727148, 418.507366, 419.414528, 424.573003 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 480.799988, "volume": 331984, "typical_volume": 69164.8, "trend": 441.569318, "fair_value": 543.913548, "relative_strength": 2.819651, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 40.215977, "energy": 34.129187, "activity_lines": [ 445.095172, 430.642281, 425.072481, 426.977777 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }