{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "fb687281-70a5-4dea-baed-732c9b23c361",
    "symbol": "GSJY",
    "name": "GOLDMAN SACHS ETF TRUST ACTIVEBETA JAPAN EQUITY ETF",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 90.511,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 74.317,
    "architecture_energy": 41.802,
    "architecture_maturity": 38.176,
    "architecture_confidence": 74.978,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 26.83,
        "rotation_up": 54.46,
        "upward_expansion": 77.66,
        "deceleration": 60.01,
        "rotation_down": 20.9,
        "downward_expansion": 4.33
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        53.18948,
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        51.631347
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 55.1053,
    "trend_reference": 51.078806,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.078829,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 40.591249,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.357566,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 0.966154,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.066376,
    "excess_performance": -0.059249,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.078829,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.040062,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.357566,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.020573,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.009662,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.002148,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.066376,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.971481,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 14083,
      "relative_activity": 0.498539,
      "balance": 0.971481,
      "dry_up": 0.581295,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.03564,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.229637,
      "from_high_reference": -0.001354,
      "from_low_reference": 0.279888
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 51.078806,
      "fair_value_reference": 40.591249,
      "structural_low": 46.57,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 34,
        "median_return": 0.011119,
        "positive_rate": 0.617647,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.617647,
        "median_excess_return": -0.000346,
        "regime_survival": 0.764706,
        "best_return": 0.081727,
        "worst_return": -0.11654,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 12,
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        "worst_return": -0.07685,
        "sufficient": true
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        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.27624,
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 38262.7,
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "fair_value": 39.947124,
        "relative_strength": 0.326077,
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      },
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        "relative_strength": 0.123456,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 14611,
        "typical_volume": 33422.0,
        "trend": 50.501716,
        "fair_value": 40.196675,
        "relative_strength": -2.214091,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 51.849092,
        "energy": 29.389139,
        "activity_lines": [
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          51.51314,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 51.8656,
        "volume": 17979,
        "typical_volume": 32292.5,
        "trend": 50.676569,
        "fair_value": 40.314819,
        "relative_strength": -0.375721,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 39.011647,
        "energy": 22.247649,
        "activity_lines": [
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          51.627887,
          51.220271
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 52.82,
        "volume": 19010,
        "typical_volume": 30946.25,
        "trend": 50.877049,
        "fair_value": 40.445339,
        "relative_strength": 0.252061,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 46.23988,
        "energy": 24.876436,
        "activity_lines": [
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          51.818418,
          51.358556
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 55.1053,
        "volume": 14083,
        "typical_volume": 28248.55,
        "trend": 51.078806,
        "fair_value": 40.591249,
        "relative_strength": 0.966154,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 74.316642,
        "energy": 41.802397,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}