{ "ticker": { "uuid": "fb8b1418-b6db-48cb-b6e8-af2d88498e6f", "symbol": "NTWK", "name": "NetSol Technologies Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 94.615, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 35.379, "architecture_energy": 19.753, "architecture_maturity": 45.484, "architecture_confidence": 79.912, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 44.48, "rotation_up": 25.29, "upward_expansion": 55.1, "deceleration": 89.59, "rotation_down": 26.75, "downward_expansion": 18.76 }, "activity_lines": [ 4.318667, 4.380909, 4.292571, 4.111333 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 4.26, "trend_reference": 3.860333, "distance_from_trend": 0.103532, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 3.021153, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.410058, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -2.764524, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.401316, "excess_performance": 0.213862, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.103532, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.126118, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.410058, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.105359, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.027645, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.03198, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.401316, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.008324, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 95154, "relative_activity": 0.658613, "balance": 1.008324, "dry_up": 0.423277, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.091732, "annualized_volatility": 0.467611, "from_high_reference": -0.25913, "from_low_reference": 0.56044 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.860333, "fair_value_reference": 3.021153, "structural_low": 3.06, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.015038, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.05226, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.076046, "worst_return": -0.318735, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.013552, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.01704, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.101504, "worst_return": -0.260341, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.076642, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.031517, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.184211, "worst_return": 0.048662, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, 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2.96846, "relative_strength": -2.111487, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.348699, "energy": 42.613963, "activity_lines": [ 4.478, 4.440727, 4.168143, 3.961613 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 4.42, "volume": 42704, "typical_volume": 154168.35, "trend": 3.733, "fair_value": 2.982563, "relative_strength": 3.959063, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 56.75491, "energy": 41.481443, "activity_lines": [ 4.462667, 4.445455, 4.212762, 4.008796 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 4.35, "volume": 49147, "typical_volume": 148847.8, "trend": 3.775333, "fair_value": 2.99596, "relative_strength": 4.299429, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 43.514567, "energy": 31.741003, "activity_lines": [ 4.430667, 4.435455, 4.246429, 4.048602 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 4.31, "volume": 57609, "typical_volume": 147280.35, "trend": 3.822333, "fair_value": 3.008781, "relative_strength": 2.983347, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 38.929434, "energy": 23.08198, "activity_lines": [ 4.374667, 4.413455, 4.273524, 4.083097 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 4.26, "volume": 95154, "typical_volume": 144476.4, "trend": 3.860333, "fair_value": 3.021153, "relative_strength": -2.764524, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 35.378931, "energy": 19.752774, "activity_lines": [ 4.318667, 4.380909, 4.292571, 4.111333 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }