{ "ticker": { "uuid": "fb8b2135-8f1e-49aa-8f15-0df46bba345c", "symbol": "000999", "name": "China Resources Sanjiu Medical & Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -21.316, "architecture_energy": 23.128, "architecture_maturity": 90.009, "architecture_confidence": 60.114, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 50.62, "rotation_up": 39.36, "upward_expansion": 20.08, "deceleration": 44.16, "rotation_down": 17.3, "downward_expansion": 51.75 }, "activity_lines": [ 25.138, 24.600182, 24.617814, 25.256296 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 25.129999, "trend_reference": 26.112014, "distance_from_trend": -0.037608, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 28.936718, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.131553, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -10.582084, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.083681, "excess_performance": -0.091081, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.037608, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.044964, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.131553, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.022625, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.105821, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.191639, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.083681, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.780381, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 70151396, "relative_activity": 1.346841, "balance": 0.780381, "dry_up": 1.684832, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.051851, "annualized_volatility": 0.251431, "from_high_reference": -0.191256, "from_low_reference": 0.138134 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 26.112014, "fair_value_reference": 28.936718, "structural_low": 22.08, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 18, "median_return": -0.001284, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.02823, "regime_survival": 0.833333, "best_return": 0.119222, "worst_return": -0.099816, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.017264, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": 0.004305, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.145107, "worst_return": -0.100444, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.006784, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.00411, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.201366, "worst_return": -0.115973, "sufficient": 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25.547239 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 25.16, "volume": 119197530, "typical_volume": 50896386.55, "trend": 26.376104, "fair_value": 29.011077, "relative_strength": -9.019356, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.112566, "energy": 42.461901, "activity_lines": [ 24.048667, 24.002386, 24.677587, 25.463553 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 24.700001, "volume": 87691992, "typical_volume": 51018509.0, "trend": 26.276491, "fair_value": 28.98018, "relative_strength": -10.286578, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -39.288145, "energy": 23.578189, "activity_lines": [ 24.376, 24.124808, 24.589647, 25.355418 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 25.809999, "volume": 73982839, "typical_volume": 51577447.7, "trend": 26.199895, "fair_value": 28.960166, "relative_strength": -4.14445, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -17.207571, "energy": 21.010815, "activity_lines": [ 24.992, 24.442182, 24.62992, 25.325321 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 25.129999, "volume": 70151396, "typical_volume": 52085881.9, "trend": 26.112014, "fair_value": 28.936718, "relative_strength": -10.582084, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -21.315795, "energy": 23.127543, "activity_lines": [ 25.138, 24.600182, 24.617814, 25.256296 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }