{ "ticker": { "uuid": "fb9877b5-1621-41d4-9a10-3cdf2fb2d18d", "symbol": "300400", "name": "Shenzhen JT Automation Equipment Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -15.476, "architecture_energy": 30.369, "architecture_maturity": 55.71, "architecture_confidence": 47.576, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 44.64, "rotation_up": 16.85, "upward_expansion": 18.37, "deceleration": 68.0, "rotation_down": 62.12, "downward_expansion": 41.03 }, "activity_lines": [ 25.396001, 28.819819, 30.060619, 28.98745 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 30.700001, "trend_reference": 27.119765, "distance_from_trend": 0.132016, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 17.735696, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.730972, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 20.199782, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.448797, "excess_performance": 0.441397, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.132016, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.167903, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.730972, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.119293, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.201998, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.028031, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.448797, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.964, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 96724274, "relative_activity": 1.37951, "balance": 0.964, "dry_up": 1.128701, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.205437, "annualized_volatility": 0.955089, "from_high_reference": -0.332318, "from_low_reference": 0.759839 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 27.119765, "fair_value_reference": 17.735696, "structural_low": 18.68, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": 0.011473, "positive_rate": 0.533333, "directional_follow_through": 0.533333, "median_excess_return": 0.009451, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.106212, "worst_return": -0.163751, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.044663, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": 0.030865, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.364271, "worst_return": -0.302463, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.162196, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.087625, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.281897, "worst_return": -0.3125, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-07-11", "end": "2025-07-18", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.010595, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-07-25", "end": "2025-10-03", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.405831, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-10-10", "end": "2025-12-05", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.178493, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-12-12", "end": "2026-01-02", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.090308, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-01-09", "end": "2026-01-16", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.053471, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-01-23", "end": "2026-02-06", "tenure": "New", 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"up", "direction": 9.563271, "energy": 15.401394, "activity_lines": [ 30.921334, 33.044, 31.470714, 29.405597 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 21.940001, "volume": 80634500, "typical_volume": 71310245.9, "trend": 26.702885, "fair_value": 17.590711, "relative_strength": -10.307141, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -4.276607, "energy": 25.647433, "activity_lines": [ 26.822667, 30.996728, 30.752191, 29.10665 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 20.9, "volume": 65060400, "typical_volume": 71788930.7, "trend": 26.744717, "fair_value": 17.630076, "relative_strength": -13.355957, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -34.053417, "energy": 42.047696, "activity_lines": [ 23.890667, 28.917818, 29.934381, 28.732271 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 30.700001, "volume": 96724274, "typical_volume": 70114928.75, "trend": 27.119765, "fair_value": 17.735696, "relative_strength": 20.199782, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -15.475929, "energy": 30.369134, "activity_lines": [ 25.396001, 28.819819, 30.060619, 28.98745 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }