{ "ticker": { "uuid": "fbb1c101-e8ac-406a-9f75-62b82be97a7f", "symbol": "ZNO", "name": "Zoono Group Limited", "exchange": "ASX", "country": "AU", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^AXJO", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -64.139, "architecture_energy": 57.567, "architecture_maturity": 25.546, "architecture_confidence": 80.101, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.0, "rotation_up": 13.8, "upward_expansion": 10.6, "deceleration": 43.07, "rotation_down": 70.49, "downward_expansion": 88.6 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.052067, 0.0538, 0.059105, 0.060376 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 0.052, "trend_reference": 0.0626, "distance_from_trend": -0.169329, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.044413, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.17082, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -16.886361, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.257143, "excess_performance": -0.320849, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.169329, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.095376, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.17082, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.31082, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.168864, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.381263, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.257143, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 4.027622, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 776232, "relative_activity": 2.149061, "balance": 4.027622, "dry_up": 0.820155, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.131657, "annualized_volatility": 0.625961, "from_high_reference": -0.702857, "from_low_reference": 0.677419 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.0626, "fair_value_reference": 0.044413, "structural_low": 0.047, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 38, "median_return": -0.079089, "positive_rate": 0.263158, "directional_follow_through": 0.684211, "median_excess_return": -0.081174, "regime_survival": 0.947368, "best_return": 0.217391, "worst_return": -0.299998, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.207757, "positive_rate": 0.083333, "directional_follow_through": 0.833333, "median_excess_return": -0.197652, "regime_survival": 0.833333, "best_return": 0.216216, "worst_return": -0.400002, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.408516, "positive_rate": 0.166667, "directional_follow_through": 0.833333, "median_excess_return": -0.454724, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.097561, "worst_return": -0.585301, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-05-16", "end": "2025-06-27", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.230769, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-07-04", "end": "2025-08-22", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.09375, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-08-29", "end": "2025-09-19", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.058824, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-09-26", "end": "2025-10-10", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0625, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-10-17", "end": "2026-01-09", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.38, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-01-16", "end": "2026-03-13", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.291667, 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"date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.054, "volume": 62755, "typical_volume": 349981.4, "trend": 0.064, "fair_value": 0.044381, "relative_strength": -7.96387, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.819955, "energy": 70.664592, "activity_lines": [ 0.054067, 0.057182, 0.061248, 0.062065 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.049, "volume": 157176, "typical_volume": 337376.45, "trend": 0.063167, "fair_value": 0.044388, "relative_strength": -18.800159, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -77.084463, "energy": 71.481949, "activity_lines": [ 0.052467, 0.055018, 0.060029, 0.061097 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.052, "volume": 776232, "typical_volume": 361195.85, "trend": 0.0626, "fair_value": 0.044413, "relative_strength": -16.886361, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.13923, "energy": 57.567428, "activity_lines": [ 0.052067, 0.0538, 0.059105, 0.060376 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }